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Pacers vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Heat NBA game on February 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
120
125
Mar 1, 1AM Kaseya Center
Mar 1, 1AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 35 | 34 | 23 | 28 | 120 |
Heat | 29 | 39 | 29 | 28 | 125 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 35 | 34 | 23 | 28 | 120 |
Heat | 29 | 39 | 29 | 28 | 125 |
Q4 00:03 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:44 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith)
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-124
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Tyrese Haliburton, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-125
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
120-123
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
123-120
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
120-120
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Pacers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
118-120
Pacers personal foul
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
118-118
Aaron Nesmith personal foul
Aaron Nesmith turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
115-118
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
115-115
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
112-115
Pacers 60 second timeout
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Myles Turner, Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
Pacers personal foul
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
112-113
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
112-111
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Pacers turnover
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
110-111
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
110-108
Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
108-108
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
105-108
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
105-106
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
102-106
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Heat turnover
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
100-106
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
97-106
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
97-104
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
95-104
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-104
Pacers violation
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
92-102
Heat defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-99
Pacers violation
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Alec Burks defensive rebound
Heat offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Myles Turner, T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Alec Burks)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-97
Pacers turnover
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-95
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Alec Burks)
Pacers personal foul
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-92
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-93
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Alec Burks)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Alec Burks)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
92-91
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
90-91
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Andrew Nembhard offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Obi Toppin, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard, T.J. McConnell)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
88-91
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
88-89
Pacers personal foul
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-88
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Davion Mitchell, Alec Burks)
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Thomas Bryant, T.J. McConnell)
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-89
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
86-87
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-84
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-85
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
86-83
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
84-83
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
81-83
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Alec Burks defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
81-80
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-80
Alec Burks defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-78
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-76
Heat personal foul
Myles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-74
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
77-74
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
77-71
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Alec Burks)
Pacers personal foul
Stoppage (Injury)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
77-68
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
75-68
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
73-68
Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
72-68
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
69-68
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
69-66
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-66
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-64
Pacers turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-61
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-58
Heat violation
Pacers violation
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Alec Burks)
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith)
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
67-55
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-54
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-55
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
65-53
Heat 60 second timeout
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
63-53
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-53
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
60-51
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
58-51
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-48
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Alec Burks)
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
58-46
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
55-46
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-46
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-46
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
50-46
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
50-43
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-43
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, T.J. McConnell, Aaron Nesmith)
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith)
Pacers turnover
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
47-41
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
47-38
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
44-38
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
44-36
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
41-36
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
41-33
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
38-33
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
38-31
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-31
Heat personal foul
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-29
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Myles Turner, Jarace Walker, T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Anderson)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-29
Pacers turnover
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
35-27
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Myles Turner, Obi Toppin, Jarace Walker, T.J. McConnell)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
33-27
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
31-27
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
31-24
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Obi Toppin, Jarace Walker, Thomas Bryant, T.J. McConnell)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
29-24
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
29-21
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-21
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
27-19
Heat turnover
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
25-19
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-19
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
22-17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-17
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-15
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
19-13
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Obi Toppin, Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
16-13
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-13
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
14-11
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
12-11
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-11
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
9-9
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
6-9
Heat personal foul
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-6
Heat turnover
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 3
5-5
Tyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 3
5-6
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
5-4
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat turnover
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-4
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Andrew Nembhard makes two point stepback jump shot
2-2
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 33 | M. Turner | 22 | 3 | 2 |
| F | 43 | P. Siakam | 36 | 6 | 2 |
| G | 2 | A. Nembhard | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| G | 0 | T. Haliburton | 19 | 2 | 10 |
| C-F | 3 | T. Bryant | 8 | 5 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 45 | D. Mitchell | 10 | 3 | 8 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 28 | 3 | 7 |
| C | 7 | K. Ware | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 13 | B. Adebayo | 18 | 7 | 7 |
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Pacers vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pacers vs. Heat
- Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pacers favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 223
- Moneyline Odds: Pacers -148, Heat +135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pacers: 58%
- Heat: 42%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 113-110 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 58%, while the Heat have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pacers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pacers vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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