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Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hawks vs. Heat NBA game on February 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
109
131
Feb 27, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Feb 27, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 28 | 37 | 28 | 16 | 109 |
Heat | 29 | 36 | 42 | 24 | 131 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 28 | 37 | 28 | 16 | 109 |
Heat | 29 | 36 | 42 | 24 | 131 |
Q4 1:08 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:05 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:17 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:34 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:09 Heat misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Heat turnover
Hawks turnover
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Pelle Larsson)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Terance Mann defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
109-131
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
109-129
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-126
Dyson Daniels misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Trae Young, Caris LeVert, Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels)
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
108-126
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
108-124
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
106-124
+2
Dyson Daniels makes two point jump shot
106-121
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Caris LeVert, Onyeka Okongwu, Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
104-121
Hawks 60 second timeout
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
102-121
Heat turnover
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Trae Young, Caris LeVert, Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels)
Hawks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Caris LeVert, Onyeka Okongwu, Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
100-121
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
100-118
Hawks 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Georges Niang, Onyeka Okongwu, Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels)
Hawks turnover
Georges Niang defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Terance Mann misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
+1
Terance Mann makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-115
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Georges Niang, Clint Capela, Trae Young, Zaccharie Risacher)
Georges Niang defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
99-115
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
97-115
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
97-112
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
97-110
Heat turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
95-110
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
93-110
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Trae Young defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
93-107
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
93-104
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Terance Mann offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
93-101
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
93-99
Terance Mann defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hawks turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
91-99
Hawks 60 second timeout
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
91-96
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
89-96
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Haywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-92
+1
Haywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-93
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Georges Niang, Clint Capela, Trae Young, Caris LeVert)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
89-90
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
89-91
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
89-88
Hawks personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-87
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Georges Niang, Clint Capela, Caris LeVert, Dyson Daniels)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-88
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
87-86
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
87-84
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
84-84
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
84-81
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks turnover
Hawks personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-80
Hawks lineup change (Georges Niang, Caris LeVert, Onyeka Okongwu, Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-81
Hawks offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
82-79
Hawks personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-79
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
79-78
Hawks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-77
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-78
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
76-76
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
76-74
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point pullup jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-72
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-72
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
74-72
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Zaccharie Risacher makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-70
Zaccharie Risacher misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-69
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-70
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
73-68
Heat personal foul
Davion Mitchell turnover (offensive foul)
Heat personal foul
+1
Trae Young makes technical free throw 1 of 1
71-68
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
70-68
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
68-68
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
68-65
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
End of 1st Half.
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Trae Young, Onyeka Okongwu, Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels)
Hawks turnover
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-65
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat personal foul
+1
Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-64
+1
Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-64
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Hawks personal foul
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
+2
Onyeka Okongwu makes two point jump shot
63-64
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-64
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
61-62
Terance Mann defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
58-62
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro)
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-62
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-62
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
54-61
Hawks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Trae Young, Caris LeVert, Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
54-62
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
54-59
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
51-59
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
51-56
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
49-56
Heat personal foul
Onyeka Okongwu misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
47-56
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware, Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
47-53
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro)
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Georges Niang, Caris LeVert, Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
45-53
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
42-53
Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
42-50
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
42-48
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
40-48
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-45
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Caris LeVert, Onyeka Okongwu, Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels)
Hawks turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
40-43
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Clint Capela, Mouhamed Gueye, Trae Young, Zaccharie Risacher)
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-40
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-37
Hawks personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
40-38
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
40-35
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Georges Niang, Clint Capela, Trae Young, Zaccharie Risacher)
+1
Terance Mann makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-35
+1
Terance Mann makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-35
Heat personal foul
Georges Niang defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
35-35
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot
33-35
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
32-32
Heat personal foul
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 1
33-32
Hawks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
30-32
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
28-32
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Alec Burks)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
Hawks turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
28-29
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-26
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware, Duncan Robinson, Alec Burks)
Hawks turnover
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Duncan Robinson, Alec Burks, Kyle Anderson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat turnover
Hawks turnover
Heat turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
28-25
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-25
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-25
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Anderson)
Georges Niang defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
24-25
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Kyle Anderson)
Hawks lineup change (Terance Mann, Georges Niang, Clint Capela, Trae Young, Caris LeVert)
Heat turnover
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
22-25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-25
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
19-23
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-23
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
17-21
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
15-21
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
15-19
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-19
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-17
Hawks turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
Hawks lineup change (Georges Niang, Caris LeVert, Onyeka Okongwu, Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
15-15
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
15-12
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
12-12
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
12-9
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-9
Tyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
10-8
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
8-8
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-8
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
5-6
Onyeka Okongwu turnover (out of bounds step)
Heat turnover
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat personal foul
Hawks turnover
Trae Young defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Hawks turnover
Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
2-6
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-2
Hawks personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
2-3
+2
Dyson Daniels makes two point driving floating jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)
2-0
Onyeka Okongwu vs. Kel'el Ware (Dyson Daniels gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 5 | D. Daniels | 18 | 4 | 5 |
| G-F | 14 | T. Mann | 13 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 3 | C. LeVert | 17 | 2 | 2 |
| C | 17 | O. Okongwu | 13 | 10 | 3 |
| G | 11 | T. Young | 17 | 2 | 8 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 14 | 6 | 4 |
| F | 55 | D. Robinson | 22 | 5 | 6 |
| F | 13 | B. Adebayo | 20 | 7 | 3 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 24 | 2 | 10 |
| G | 45 | D. Mitchell | 20 | 0 | 6 |
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Hawks vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Hawks vs. Heat
- Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5
- Moneyline Odds: Hawks +132, Heat -148
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Hawks: 39%
- Heat: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Hawks 113-116 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hawks a win probability of 39%, while the Heat have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Hawks vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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