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Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cavaliers vs. Heat NBA game on January 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
126
106
Jan 30, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Jan 30, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers | 31 | 28 | 35 | 32 | 126 |
Heat | 21 | 20 | 43 | 22 | 106 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers | 31 | 28 | 35 | 32 | 126 |
Heat | 21 | 20 | 43 | 22 | 106 |
Q4 00:11 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:23 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Jaylon Tyson misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Evan Mobley makes two point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)
Q4 2:22 Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
126-106
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Jaylon Tyson misses two point jump shot
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
124-106
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-103
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Josh Christopher)
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Emoni Bates, Craig Porter Jr., Ty Jerome, Georges Niang)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-104
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
124-102
Heat offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
+2
Evan Mobley makes two point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)
121-102
Heat personal foul
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Heat turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
119-102
+2
Evan Mobley makes two point jump shot
119-102
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Tyler Herro)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
119-102
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
119-102
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat turnover
Donovan Mitchell personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Tyler Herro)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Ty Jerome, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
121-102
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
121-102
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
121-102
Ty Jerome offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro turnover
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers violation
+2
Donovan Mitchell makes two point jump shot
119-102
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Ty Jerome, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro)
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Ty Jerome, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
119-102
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
119-102
+2
Nikola Jovic makes two point jump shot
119-102
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Georges Niang defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses two point jump shot
+2
Ty Jerome makes two point jump shot
107-91
Georges Niang defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Cavaliers turnover
Heat turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Jarrett Allen, Ty Jerome, Georges Niang)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers personal foul
Evan Mobley turnover (offensive foul)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Craig Porter Jr., Jarrett Allen, Ty Jerome, Georges Niang)
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
94-84
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
94-84
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
94-84
Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-84
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
94-84
Georges Niang defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Craig Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)
94-84
Heat turnover
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
+2
Evan Mobley makes two point tip layup
94-84
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers violation
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-102
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-102
Cavaliers personal foul
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Evan Mobley misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Craig Porter Jr., Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell, Georges Niang)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
94-84
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
94-84
Cavaliers personal foul
Donovan Mitchell turnover (offensive foul)
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-84
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
94-84
Heat personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes technical free throw 1 of 1
94-84
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-84
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
94-84
Georges Niang defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
94-84
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-84
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
94-84
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Nikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
83-72
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-84
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-84
Cavaliers personal foul
Tyler Herro misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro)
Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., Ty Jerome, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell, Georges Niang)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
83-72
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
70-60
Ty Jerome offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Terry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup
70-60
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point hook shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
83-72
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
70-60
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro)
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)
70-60
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
+3
Georges Niang makes three point jump shot (Jaylon Tyson assists)
70-60
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
70-60
Jaylon Tyson personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 3
70-58
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 3
70-59
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 3
70-60
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge)
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Ty Jerome, Georges Niang)
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Jaylon Tyson misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
70-57
Heat personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-54
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-54
+3
Haywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot
68-54
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
68-51
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
66-51
Cavaliers turnover
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
66-48
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
64-48
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
63-45
Heat personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
64-45
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-45
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
61-43
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
59-43
Heat defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro)
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro)
Heat violation
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
59-41
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-41
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
56-40
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Heat defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro)
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
54-40
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-40
Cavaliers turnover
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
51-38
Max Strus defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
49-38
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-38
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-36
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
46-34
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro)
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
44-34
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Ty Jerome, Georges Niang)
Heat turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
42-34
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-34
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro)
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Duncan Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 1
40-32
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Tristan Thompson offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
40-31
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
38-31
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
38-28
Heat 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Tristan Thompson, Max Strus, Ty Jerome, Georges Niang)
Heat personal foul
Tristan Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
36-28
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
33-28
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
33-26
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-26
Cavaliers turnover
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
31-24
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Cavaliers lineup change (Tristan Thompson, Max Strus, Craig Porter Jr., Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-21
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-19
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
31-17
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
29-17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-17
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
26-15
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
26-15
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
24-15
Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-14
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-15
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
22-13
Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., Ty Jerome, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell, Georges Niang)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers turnover
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Craig Porter Jr., Ty Jerome, Evan Mobley, Georges Niang)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-13
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
19-11
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-11
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
17-9
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Ty Jerome, Georges Niang)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
15-9
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
13-9
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
13-6
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
10-6
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
8-6
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
8-3
Heat violation
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat personal foul
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
6-3
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
4-3
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
4-0
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-0
Heat turnover
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Evan Mobley misses two point jump shot
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
Jarrett Allen vs. Kel'el Ware (Max Strus gains possession)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Kel'el Ware, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 21 | E. Bates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 9 | C. Porter Jr. | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| G-F | 2 | T. Jerome | 20 | 3 | 7 |
| F | 20 | G. Niang | 15 | 4 | 1 |
| F | 24 | J. Tyson | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 8 | J. Christopher | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 9 | P. Larsson | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| C | 7 | K. Ware | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| F | 13 | B. Adebayo | 21 | 9 | 3 |
| G | 2 | T. Rozier | 22 | 4 | 4 |
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Cavaliers vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Cavaliers vs. Heat
- Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cavaliers favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Cavaliers -218, Heat +195
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Cavaliers: 68%
- Heat: 32%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Cavaliers 115-110 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cavaliers a win probability of 68%, while the Heat have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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