Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA game on December 29, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
93
Dec 30, 2AM Ball Arena
Dec 30, 2AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 33 | 21 | 34 | 31 | 119 |
Nuggets | 27 | 21 | 20 | 25 | 93 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 33 | 21 | 34 | 31 | 119 |
Nuggets | 27 | 21 | 20 | 25 | 93 |
Q4 00:21 Justin Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:39 Aaron Wiggins makes two point driving finger roll layup
Q4 1:08 Lindy Waters III misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 Jalen Pickett misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 1:51 Braxton Key makes two point running finger roll layup (Justin Holiday assists)
Q4 1:54 Cason Wallace misses two point driving layup
Q4 2:05 Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:22 Lindy Waters III makes three point jump shot (Vasilije Micic assists)
Q4 2:43 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Braxton Key's two point driving layup
Q4 2:59 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Justin Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point driving finger roll layup
119-93
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-93
Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Lindy Waters III misses three point jump shot
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Jalen Pickett misses two point stepback jump shot
+1
Olivier Sarr makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-92
+1
Olivier Sarr makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-92
Jalen Pickett personal foul
+1
Braxton Key makes regular free throw 1 of 1
115-92
Thunder personal foul
+2
Braxton Key makes two point running finger roll layup (Justin Holiday assists)
115-91
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses two point driving layup
Olivier Sarr defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
+3
Lindy Waters III makes three point jump shot (Vasilije Micic assists)
115-89
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Braxton Key's two point driving layup
Thunder lineup change (Vasilije Micic, Olivier Sarr, Cason Wallace, Lindy Waters III, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot
112-89
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Zeke Nnaji misses two point cutting layup
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-89
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, Zeke Nnaji, Braxton Key, Julian Strawther, Jalen Pickett)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-89
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)
107-89
+3
Chet Holmgren makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
107-87
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
104-87
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Josh Giddey personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot
104-85
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
Josh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Peyton Watson personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point cutting dunk (Jamal Murray assists)
102-85
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
+3
Reggie Jackson makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
102-83
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)
Jalen Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Jalen Williams offensive foul (Charge) (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses two point driving dunk
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point stepback jump shot
102-80
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
99-80
Nuggets lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams)
Jalen Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
DeAndre Jordan turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Vasilije Micic misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point cutting layup
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Vasilije Micic assists)
99-78
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Christian Braun misses three point jump shot
+3
Kenrich Williams makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
99-78
+3
Reggie Jackson makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
93-78
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point running layup
93-75
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Jamal Murray's two point jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-75
Peyton Watson shooting foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Peyton Watson personal foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
+2
Reggie Jackson makes two point driving floating jump shot
90-75
Chet Holmgren turnover (Reggie Jackson steals)
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-73
Thunder lineup change (Vasilije Micic, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams)
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-72
Vasilije Micic shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)
DeAndre Jordan defensive rebound
Vasilije Micic misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Christian Braun misses two point jump shot
+2
Vasilije Micic makes two point pullup jump shot
90-71
+3
Peyton Watson makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)
90-71
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (DeAndre Jordan, Reggie Jackson, Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Christian Braun)
Thunder lineup change (Vasilije Micic, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder offensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
+2
DeAndre Jordan makes two point tip dunk
88-68
DeAndre Jordan offensive rebound
DeAndre Jordan offensive rebound
DeAndre Jordan misses two point tip layup
Reggie Jackson misses two point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins turnover (traveling)
Thunder offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses two point floating jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point reverse layup (Chet Holmgren assists)
88-66
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
DeAndre Jordan defensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses two point tip layup
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+2
Julian Strawther makes two point driving floating jump shot (Justin Holiday assists)
86-66
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running dunk (Cason Wallace assists)
86-64
Julian Strawther turnover (lost ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
DeAndre Jordan defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-64
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, DeAndre Jordan, Reggie Jackson, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-63
Aaron Wiggins personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot
84-62
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses three point jump shot
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-62
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, Reggie Jackson, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-62
Justin Holiday shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point running pullup jump shot
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot
80-62
+2
Isaiah Joe makes two point pullup jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
80-60
Christian Braun turnover (traveling)
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)
80-60
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-60
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-59
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point stepback jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Christian Braun misses three point jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running layup
75-58
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (lost ball) (Luguentz Dort steals)
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
73-58
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point fadeaway jump shot
70-58
Peyton Watson turnover (offensive foul)
Peyton Watson offensive foul (Charge) (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
Jalen Williams turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams blocks Michael Porter Jr.'s two point running layup
Josh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-58
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point cutting dunk (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
66-58
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
66-56
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-56
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-55
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point stepback jump shot
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point cutting dunk (Josh Giddey assists)
64-54
Josh Giddey offensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses two point running finger roll layup
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running dunk (Jalen Williams assists)
62-54
Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point turnaround jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
62-54
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
Josh Giddey offensive rebound
Jamal Murray blocks Luguentz Dort's two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Josh Giddey steals)
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving layup
58-54
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point running layup (Jamal Murray assists)
56-54
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Peyton Watson blocks Jalen Williams's two point cutting layup
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
56-52
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point jump shot
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
56-50
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point floating jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
56-48
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Nuggets offensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving hook shot
54-48
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point running layup (Chet Holmgren assists)
54-46
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
52-46
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
50-46
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
50-44
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
50-41
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point stepback jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
48-41
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
Luguentz Dort offensive foul (Charge) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)
Luguentz Dort turnover (offensive foul)
Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Jaylin Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot
46-41
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
46-38
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)
46-38
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
44-36
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Jaylin Williams personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses two point running layup
Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point running layup (Cason Wallace assists)
42-36
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Cason Wallace blocks Jamal Murray's two point fadeaway jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Vasilije Micic misses three point pullup jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
Kenrich Williams shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
40-36
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
40-34
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Vasilije Micic, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Reggie Jackson defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses three point jump shot
+2
DeAndre Jordan makes two point layup (Christian Braun assists)
38-34
Chet Holmgren turnover (bad pass) (Reggie Jackson steals)
Vasilije Micic defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
DeAndre Jordan defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
+2
DeAndre Jordan makes two point alley-oop dunk (Reggie Jackson assists)
38-32
Nuggets lineup change (DeAndre Jordan, Reggie Jackson, Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point running layup
38-30
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Julian Strawther's two point stepback jump shot
DeAndre Jordan defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses three point jump shot
Julian Strawther offensive foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
Julian Strawther turnover (offensive foul)
Kenrich Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (DeAndre Jordan draws the foul)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses three point jump shot
+3
Chet Holmgren makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
36-30
Julian Strawther personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Instant replay
Julian Strawther offensive foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Julian Strawther turnover (offensive foul)
Reggie Jackson defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
+3
Julian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)
33-30
Thunder lineup change (Vasilije Micic, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams)
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets offensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses three point floating jump shot
DeAndre Jordan offensive rebound
Justin Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot
Cason Wallace personal foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-27
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-27
Christian Braun personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Julian Strawther makes two point driving floating jump shot (DeAndre Jordan assists)
31-27
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot
31-25
Nuggets turnover (shot clock violation)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses two point driving finger roll layup
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-25
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, DeAndre Jordan, Reggie Jackson, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-25
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running finger roll layup
27-25
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point pullup jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
+3
Aaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
25-25
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Justin Holiday misses three point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
22-25
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Justin Holiday, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
22-22
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
22-20
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
22-18
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
22-18
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
22-15
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. blocks Jalen Williams's two point layup
Michael Porter Jr. personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot
18-15
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point driving dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
18-13
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
16-13
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running layup (Josh Giddey assists)
16-10
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-10
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-10
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
12-10
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point stepback jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
12-8
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
12-8
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses three point jump shot
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-6
Jalen Williams shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
Josh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder offensive rebound
Peyton Watson blocks Josh Giddey's two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic blocks Chet Holmgren's two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot
10-5
Chet Holmgren misses two point driving layup
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
8-5
Chet Holmgren personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
8-2
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Nikola Jokic offensive foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
+3
Chet Holmgren makes three point pullup jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
6-2
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
6-2
+3
Chet Holmgren makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
3-0
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses two point driving reverse layup
Chet Holmgren vs. Nikola Jokic (Josh Giddey gains possession)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 29 | V. Micic | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| C | 30 | O. Sarr | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 22 | C. Wallace | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| F | 12 | L. Waters III | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 21 | A. Wiggins | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-G | 9 | J. Holiday | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| F-C | 22 | Z. Nnaji | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 11 | B. Key | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 3 | J. Strawther | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 24 | J. Pickett | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Thunder vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Nuggets
- Date: Friday, December 29, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder +110, Nuggets -122
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 43%
- Nuggets: 57%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 117-118 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 43%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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