Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Mavericks NBA game on May 11, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
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NBA
Thunder
101
105
May 11, 7:30PM American Airlines Center
Mavericks
May 11, 7:30PM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Thunder
23 29 26 23 101
Mavericks
26 25 31 23 105
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
ThunderOKC
Win %
1%
99%
MavericksDAL
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
23 29 26 23 101
Mavericks
26 25 31 23 105
Q4 00:01 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:11 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:13 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:18 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:06
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 00:07
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:07
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-105
Q4 00:07
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 00:07
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q4 00:07
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 00:10
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 00:10
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-104
Q4 00:10
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)
Q4 00:10
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-104
Q4 00:12
Mavericks turnover
Q4 00:19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 00:29
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:29
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:29
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 00:29
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q4 00:39
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
99-104
Q4 00:58
Derrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 1:02
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:07
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 1:09
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:28
Jump ball. (Luka Doncic gains possession)
Q4 1:28
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball)
Q4 1:43
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 1:45
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:02
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 2:02
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-102
Q4 2:02
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-102
Q4 2:11
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
97-102
Q4 2:15
Thunder turnover
Q4 2:18
Mavericks turnover
Q4 2:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-100
Q4 3:06
Thunder personal foul
Q4 3:06
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-99
Q4 3:06
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-100
Q4 3:13
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-98
Q4 3:27
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 3:27
Thunder personal foul
Q4 3:27
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-97
Q4 3:27
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-98
Q4 3:27
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 3:27
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 3:36
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Q4 4:01
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 4:01
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:02
Thunder personal foul
Q4 4:02
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-96
Q4 4:02
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q4 4:02
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 4:02
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q4 4:18
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q4 4:18
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
92-95
Q4 4:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:27
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q4 4:28
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:38
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 4:42
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:54
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:54
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q4 4:54
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:54
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q4 4:54
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 5:00
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Q4 5:06
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:12
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 5:15
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:24
Thunder turnover
Q4 5:36
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 5:38
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:38
Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 5:38
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q4 5:38
Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 5:39
Thunder turnover
Q4 5:39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:53
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 5:55
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:55
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-95
Q4 5:55
Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 5:55
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 5:58
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:58
Mavericks defensive rebound
Q4 5:58
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:10
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q4 6:13
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 6:13
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q4 6:13
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q4 6:13
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-94
Q4 6:13
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 6:23
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
89-94
Q4 6:23
Thunder violation
Q4 6:42
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
89-92
Q4 6:58
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 7:01
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:01
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 7:01
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q4 7:01
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 7:12
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 7:12
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 7:12
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 7:12
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Q4 7:12
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-92
Q4 7:25
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:34
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:37
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:37
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 7:37
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q4 7:58
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
85-92
Q4 8:13
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
83-92
Q4 8:18
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q4 8:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:38
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
83-90
Q4 8:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-88
Q4 9:15
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
81-88
Q4 9:22
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q4 9:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:53
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q4 9:53
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-84
Q4 9:53
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 9:53
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
81-84
Q4 9:54
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:13
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 10:14
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:22
Thunder personal foul
Q4 10:22
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 10:22
Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q4 10:30
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 10:34
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:42
Gordon Hayward defensive rebound
Q4 10:46
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:52
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Q4 10:53
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-84
Q4 10:55
Luguentz Dort misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 11:17
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
78-84
Q4 11:37
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q4 11:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Gordon Hayward, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 00:16
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q3 00:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:26
Gordon Hayward defensive rebound
Q3 00:29
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:51
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
78-79
Q3 00:59
Mavericks turnover
Q3 1:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
76-79
Q3 1:23
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Gordon Hayward, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
Q3 1:23
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 1:23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 1:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:44
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
74-79
Q3 2:00
Mavericks personal foul
Q3 2:00
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-76
Q3 2:00
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-76
Q3 2:00
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q3 2:20
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
72-76
Q3 2:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-74
Q3 3:06
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 3:06
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q3 3:06
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
Q3 3:08
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
70-74
Q3 3:09
Josh Green offensive rebound
Q3 3:12
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
70-71
Q3 3:51
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 3:54
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-71
Q3 4:26
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 4:26
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 4:30
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-71
Q3 4:42
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Q3 4:44
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:52
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 4:54
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:58
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Q3 5:02
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:19
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
65-68
Q3 5:34
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Q3 5:35
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:37
Josh Green offensive rebound
Q3 5:39
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:43
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Q3 5:46
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 5:55
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Q3 5:57
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:12
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-66
Q3 6:19
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 6:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:37
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 6:37
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 6:39
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running dunk (Josh Green assists)
65-63
Q3 6:40
Thunder turnover
Q3 7:00
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-61
Q3 7:04
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 7:06
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:30
Thunder personal foul
Q3 7:30
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-57
Q3 7:34
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 7:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:42
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q3 7:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:58
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 8:01
Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 8:01
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-56
Q3 8:12
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)
Q3 8:12
Mavericks defensive rebound
Q3 8:12
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 8:13
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:19
Mavericks turnover
Q3 8:33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-55
Q3 8:34
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 8:36
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:36
Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball)
Q3 8:44
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 8:46
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 8:53
Derrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound
Q3 8:53
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point putback layup
Q3 8:54
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-55
Q3 9:16
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 9:19
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:23
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Q3 9:26
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:39
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q3 9:39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-55
Q3 9:39
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q3 9:51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 9:52
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:16
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
59-55
Q3 10:27
Mavericks turnover
Q3 10:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-55
Q3 10:52
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point tip dunk
56-55
Q3 10:54
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Q3 10:56
Jalen Williams blocks Kyrie Irving's two point pullup jump shot
Q3 11:00
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:11
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 11:11
Mavericks personal foul
Q3 11:13
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
54-53
Q3 11:47
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
52-53
Q2 00:00
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
52-51
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q2 00:08
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
49-51
Q2 00:41
Mavericks turnover
Q2 00:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-48
Q2 1:06
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 1:08
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:32
Thunder personal foul
Q2 1:32
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 1:32
Instant replay
Q2 1:45
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:45
Thunder defensive rebound
Q2 1:45
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 1:48
Thunder turnover
Q2 1:54
Mavericks turnover
Q2 1:59
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Q2 2:02
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:12
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
45-47
Q2 2:12
Thunder personal foul
Q2 2:12
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
45-48
Q2 2:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:34
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 2:34
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 2:47
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
45-45
Q2 3:10
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q2 3:12
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:19
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Q2 3:22
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:34
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
43-43
Q2 3:47
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q2 3:47
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 3:48
Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
Q2 4:13
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
43-41
Q2 4:18
Thunder violation
Q2 4:31
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q2 4:32
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-38
Q2 4:37
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 4:40
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-38
Q2 5:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:08
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 5:08
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 5:08
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q2 5:18
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q2 5:20
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:35
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 5:35
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-38
Q2 5:35
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-38
Q2 5:35
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Josh Giddey)
Q2 5:51
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
36-38
Q2 6:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
36-36
Q2 6:23
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
34-36
Q2 6:23
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 6:23
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 6:23
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q2 6:31
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:31
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q2 6:31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 6:31
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 6:31
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)
Q2 6:36
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
Q2 6:39
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 6:53
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:08
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 7:11
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:20
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 7:20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:22
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 7:27
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:33
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:47
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
34-34
Q2 7:49
Kyrie Irving offensive rebound
Q2 7:51
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:55
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q2 7:55
Thunder personal foul
Q2 7:56
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:00
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Q2 8:03
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:24
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 8:26
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:40
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q2 8:41
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
34-31
Q2 8:45
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q2 8:48
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:56
Thunder personal foul
Q2 9:00
Thunder turnover
Q2 9:19
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 9:22
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:29
Thunder turnover
Q2 9:29
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 9:29
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II)
Q2 9:31
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:01
Mavericks violation
Q2 10:02
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
29-31
Q2 10:14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
29-29
Q2 10:32
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 10:35
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-29
Q2 11:02
Mavericks turnover
Q2 11:09
Luka Doncic offensive rebound
Q2 11:11
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:29
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-29
Q2 11:48
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
23-29
Q1 00:00
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q1 00:02
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-26
Q1 00:21
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 00:23
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:35
Thunder turnover
Q1 00:41
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:41
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-25
Q1 00:41
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-26
Q1 00:41
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q1 00:48
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
20-24
Q1 00:59
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q1 00:59
Mavericks turnover
Q1 1:01
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point bank jump shot
Q1 1:02
Derrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 1:05
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:22
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 1:24
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:42
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 1:42
Josh Green turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 1:42
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q1 1:42
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q1 1:42
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q1 2:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-24
Q1 2:10
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 2:14
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:26
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q1 2:29
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:52
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
15-24
Q1 3:01
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 3:01
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q1 3:01
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace)
Q1 3:03
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q1 3:07
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:22
Mavericks turnover
Q1 3:43
Dante Exum defensive rebound
Q1 3:44
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:07
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
15-22
Q1 4:19
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 4:19
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-20
Q1 4:19
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-20
Q1 4:19
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Dante Exum, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving)
Q1 4:30
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
13-20
Q1 4:33
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Q1 4:33
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:36
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Q1 4:38
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:45
Dante Exum offensive rebound
Q1 4:48
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:06
Thunder turnover
Q1 5:08
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q1 5:10
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:25
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 5:25
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-18
Q1 5:25
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-18
Q1 5:36
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
11-18
Q1 5:47
Thunder violation
Q1 5:47
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
Q1 5:47
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Dante Exum, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)
Q1 5:54
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Q1 5:57
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 6:04
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:05
Luka Doncic offensive rebound
Q1 6:07
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:12
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Q1 6:14
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:24
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
Q1 6:27
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:42
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q1 6:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-15
Q1 7:09
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 7:09
Dereck Lively II turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 7:15
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 7:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:34
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q1 7:34
Mavericks turnover
Q1 7:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-15
Q1 8:03
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
7-15
Q1 8:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-13
Q1 8:46
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
5-13
Q1 8:46
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 3 of 3
5-13
Q1 8:46
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q1 8:46
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Q1 8:46
Luguentz Dort shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Q1 8:46
Instant replay
Q1 8:54
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 8:57
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:59
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:10
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
5-11
Q1 9:13
Luka Doncic offensive rebound
Q1 9:15
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:29
Thunder turnover
Q1 9:51
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
5-8
Q1 9:51
Thunder personal foul
Q1 9:51
+1
Derrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
5-9
Q1 9:57
Thunder personal foul
Q1 10:02
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 10:05
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:16
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
5-6
Q1 10:30
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
5-4
Q1 11:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-2
Q1 11:18
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
0-2
Q1 11:27
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q1 11:29
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 11:29
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 11:29
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 11:29
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 11:33
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 11:33
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 11:34
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort)
Q1 12:00
(Luguentz Dort gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
C7C. Holmgren1383
G2S. Gilgeous-Alexander3196
F8J. Williams1668
G21A. Wiggins640
F6J. Williams251
Mavericks
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G77L. Doncic22155
G-F10T. Hardaway Jr.821
F55D. Jones Jr.341
F25P. Washington2762
G11K. Irving2257

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Thunder vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder +110, Mavericks -120

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 43%
  • Mavericks: 57%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 107-109 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 43%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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