Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Mavericks NBA game on May 11, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL

NBA

FINAL

NBA

Thunder

101

105

May 11, 7:30PM American Airlines Center

Mavericks

May 11, 7:30PM American Airlines Center

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TEAM	1	2	3	4	T
Thunder	23	29	26	23	101
Mavericks	26	25	31	23	105

Live Probabilities

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

ThunderOKC

Win %

99%

MavericksDAL

Win Probability

TEAM	1	2	3	4	T
Thunder	23	29	26	23	101
Mavericks	26	25	31	23	105

Play by Play

ALL

Q4 00:00

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound

Q4 00:00

End of 4th Quarter.

Q4 00:01

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q4 00:06

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q4 00:07

Thunder personal foul

Q4 00:07

Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2

101-105

Q4 00:07

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren)

Q4 00:07

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q4 00:07

Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q4 00:10

Mavericks personal foul

Q4 00:10

Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2

100-104

Q4 00:10

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)

Q4 00:10

Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2

101-104

Q4 00:12

Mavericks turnover

Q4 00:19

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q4 00:29

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 00:29

Thunder personal foul

Q4 00:29

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)

Q4 00:29

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q4 00:39

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

99-104

Q4 00:58

Derrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound

Q4 1:02

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q4 1:07

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q4 1:09

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q4 1:28

Jump ball. (Luka Doncic gains possession)

Q4 1:28

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball)

Q4 1:43

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q4 1:45

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q4 2:02

Mavericks personal foul

Q4 2:02

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2

98-102

Q4 2:02

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2

99-102

Q4 2:11

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

97-102

Q4 2:15

Thunder turnover

Q4 2:18

Mavericks turnover

Q4 2:43

Thunder makes two point jump shot

97-100

Q4 3:06

Thunder personal foul

Q4 3:06

Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2

95-99

Q4 3:06

Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2

95-100

Q4 3:13

Thunder makes three point jump shot

95-98

Q4 3:27

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)

Q4 3:27

Thunder personal foul

Q4 3:27

Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2

92-97

Q4 3:27

Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2

92-98

Q4 3:27

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)

Q4 3:27

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q4 3:36

P.J. Washington defensive rebound

Q4 4:01

Thunder defensive rebound

Q4 4:01

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q4 4:02

Thunder personal foul

Q4 4:02

Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2

92-96

Q4 4:02

Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)

Q4 4:02

Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q4 4:02

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q4 4:18

Chet Holmgren offensive rebound

Q4 4:18

Thunder makes two point jump shot

92-95

Q4 4:20

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 4:27

Cason Wallace offensive rebound

Q4 4:28

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 4:38

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q4 4:42

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q4 4:54

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q4 4:54

Mavericks offensive rebound

Q4 4:54

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q4 4:54

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q4 4:54

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)

Q4 5:00

P.J. Washington defensive rebound

Q4 5:06

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q4 5:12

Jaylin Williams defensive rebound

Q4 5:15

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q4 5:24

Thunder turnover

Q4 5:36

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q4 5:38

Thunder personal foul

Q4 5:38

Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q4 5:38

Mavericks offensive rebound

Q4 5:38

Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q4 5:39

Thunder turnover

Q4 5:39

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q4 5:53

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q4 5:55

Thunder personal foul

Q4 5:55

Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2

90-95

Q4 5:55

Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q4 5:55

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)

Q4 5:58

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 5:58

Mavericks defensive rebound

Q4 5:58

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q4 6:10

Luguentz Dort offensive rebound

Q4 6:13

Mavericks personal foul

Q4 6:13

Mavericks 60 second timeout

Q4 6:13

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q4 6:13

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2

90-94

Q4 6:13

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q4 6:23

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

89-94

Q4 6:23

Thunder violation

Q4 6:42

Thunder makes three point jump shot

89-92

Q4 6:58

Jaylin Williams defensive rebound

Q4 7:01

Thunder personal foul

Q4 7:01

Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q4 7:01

Mavericks offensive rebound

Q4 7:01

Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q4 7:12

Mavericks personal foul

Q4 7:12

Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q4 7:12

Thunder offensive rebound

Q4 7:12

Stoppage (Court cleanup)

Q4 7:12

Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2

86-92

Q4 7:25

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q4 7:34

Thunder personal foul

Q4 7:37

Thunder personal foul

Q4 7:37

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)

Q4 7:37

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q4 7:58

Thunder makes two point jump shot

85-92

Q4 8:13

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

83-92

Q4 8:18

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q4 8:20

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 8:38

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

83-90

Q4 8:56

Thunder makes two point jump shot

83-88

Q4 9:15

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

81-88

Q4 9:22

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q4 9:23

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q4 9:53

Chet Holmgren offensive rebound

Q4 9:53

Thunder makes two point jump shot

80-84

Q4 9:53

Mavericks personal foul

Q4 9:53

Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1

81-84

Q4 9:54

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 10:13

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q4 10:14

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q4 10:22

Thunder personal foul

Q4 10:22

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)

Q4 10:22

Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q4 10:30

Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound

Q4 10:34

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q4 10:42

Gordon Hayward defensive rebound

Q4 10:46

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q4 10:52

Dereck Lively II defensive rebound

Q4 10:53

Thunder makes two point jump shot

80-84

Q4 10:55

Luguentz Dort misses two point driving floating bank jump shot

Q4 11:17

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

78-84

Q4 11:37

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q4 11:40

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 00:00

End of 3rd Quarter.

Q4 12:00

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q4 12:00

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Gordon Hayward, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)

Q3 00:16

Daniel Gafford defensive rebound

Q3 00:18

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 00:26

Gordon Hayward defensive rebound

Q3 00:29

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q3 00:51

Thunder makes two point jump shot

78-79

Q3 00:59

Mavericks turnover

Q3 1:12

Thunder makes two point jump shot

76-79

Q3 1:23

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Gordon Hayward, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)

Q3 1:23

Thunder offensive rebound

Q3 1:23

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q3 1:24

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 1:44

Mavericks makes three point jump shot

74-79

Q3 2:00

Mavericks personal foul

Q3 2:00

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2

73-76

Q3 2:00

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2

74-76

Q3 2:00

Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q3 2:20

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

72-76

Q3 2:48

Thunder makes two point jump shot

72-74

Q3 3:06

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q3 3:06

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr.)

Q3 3:06

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)

Q3 3:08

Mavericks makes three point jump shot

70-74

Q3 3:09

Josh Green offensive rebound

Q3 3:12

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q3 3:31

Thunder makes three point jump shot

70-71

Q3 3:51

Jaylin Williams defensive rebound

Q3 3:54

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q3 4:12

Thunder makes two point jump shot

67-71

Q3 4:26

Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)

Q3 4:26

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q3 4:30

Mavericks makes three point jump shot

65-71

Q3 4:42

Dereck Lively II defensive rebound

Q3 4:44

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 4:52

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q3 4:54

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q3 4:58

Dereck Lively II defensive rebound

Q3 5:02

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 5:19

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

65-68

Q3 5:34

Dereck Lively II offensive rebound

Q3 5:35

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q3 5:37

Josh Green offensive rebound

Q3 5:39

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q3 5:43

P.J. Washington offensive rebound

Q3 5:46

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q3 5:52

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q3 5:55

P.J. Washington defensive rebound

Q3 5:57

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 6:12

Mavericks makes three point jump shot

65-66

Q3 6:19

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q3 6:23

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 6:37

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q3 6:37

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)

Q3 6:39

P.J. Washington makes two point running dunk (Josh Green assists)

65-63

Q3 6:40

Thunder turnover

Q3 7:00

Mavericks makes three point jump shot

65-61

Q3 7:04

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q3 7:06

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 7:30

Thunder personal foul

Q3 7:30

Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2

65-57

Q3 7:34

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q3 7:37

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 7:42

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound

Q3 7:45

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 7:58

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q3 8:01

Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q3 8:01

Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2

65-56

Q3 8:12

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)

Q3 8:12

Mavericks defensive rebound

Q3 8:12

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q3 8:13

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 8:19

Mavericks turnover

Q3 8:33

Thunder makes two point jump shot

65-55

Q3 8:34

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q3 8:36

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q3 8:36

Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball)

Q3 8:44

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q3 8:46

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 8:51

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q3 8:53

Derrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound

Q3 8:53

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point putback layup

Q3 8:54

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q3 9:10

Thunder makes two point jump shot

63-55

Q3 9:16

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q3 9:19

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q3 9:23

Dereck Lively II offensive rebound

Q3 9:26

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q3 9:39

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q3 9:39

Thunder makes two point jump shot

61-55

Q3 9:39

Mavericks 60 second timeout

Q3 9:51

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q3 9:52

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q3 10:16

Thunder makes three point jump shot

59-55

Q3 10:27

Mavericks turnover

Q3 10:43

Thunder makes two point jump shot

56-55

Q3 10:52

Daniel Gafford makes two point tip dunk

56-55

Q3 10:54

Daniel Gafford offensive rebound

Q3 10:56

Jalen Williams blocks Kyrie Irving's two point pullup jump shot

Q3 11:00

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q3 11:01

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 11:11

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q3 11:11

Mavericks personal foul

Q3 11:13

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q3 11:31

Thunder makes two point jump shot

54-53

Q3 11:47

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

52-53

Q2 00:00

Thunder makes three point jump shot

52-51

Q2 00:00

End of 1st Half.

Q3 12:00

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort)

Q3 12:00

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q2 00:08

Mavericks makes three point jump shot

49-51

Q2 00:41

Mavericks turnover

Q2 00:52

Thunder makes two point jump shot

47-48

Q2 1:06

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q2 1:08

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q2 1:32

Thunder personal foul

Q2 1:32

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)

Q2 1:32

Instant replay

Q2 1:45

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q2 1:45

Thunder defensive rebound

Q2 1:45

Mavericks personal foul

Q2 1:48

Thunder turnover

Q2 1:54

Mavericks turnover

Q2 1:59

Dereck Lively II defensive rebound

Q2 2:02

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 2:12

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

45-47

Q2 2:12

Thunder personal foul

Q2 2:12

Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1

45-48

Q2 2:20

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 2:34

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)

Q2 2:34

Mavericks personal foul

Q2 2:47

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

45-45

Q2 3:10

Luguentz Dort defensive rebound

Q2 3:12

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q2 3:19

Dereck Lively II defensive rebound

Q2 3:22

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 3:34

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

43-43

Q2 3:47

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q2 3:47

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)

Q2 3:48

Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)

Q2 4:13

Mavericks makes three point jump shot

43-41

Q2 4:18

Thunder violation

Q2 4:31

Mavericks 60 second timeout

Q2 4:32

Thunder makes three point jump shot

43-38

Q2 4:37

Jaylin Williams defensive rebound

Q2 4:40

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q2 5:01

Thunder makes two point jump shot

40-38

Q2 5:08

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 5:08

Mavericks personal foul

Q2 5:08

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort)

Q2 5:08

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q2 5:18

Josh Giddey defensive rebound

Q2 5:20

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q2 5:35

Mavericks personal foul

Q2 5:35

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2

37-38

Q2 5:35

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2

38-38

Q2 5:35

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Josh Giddey)

Q2 5:51

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

36-38

Q2 6:08

Thunder makes two point jump shot

36-36

Q2 6:23

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

34-36

Q2 6:23

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q2 6:23

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)

Q2 6:23

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q2 6:31

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q2 6:31

Mavericks offensive rebound

Q2 6:31

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q2 6:31

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)

Q2 6:31

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)

Q2 6:36

Kyrie Irving defensive rebound

Q2 6:39

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 6:51

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q2 6:53

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q2 7:08

Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound

Q2 7:11

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 7:20

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)

Q2 7:20

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q2 7:22

Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound

Q2 7:27

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q2 7:33

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 7:47

Mavericks makes three point jump shot

34-34

Q2 7:49

Kyrie Irving offensive rebound

Q2 7:51

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q2 7:55

Mavericks offensive rebound

Q2 7:55

Thunder personal foul

Q2 7:56

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q2 8:00

Dereck Lively II defensive rebound

Q2 8:03

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 8:24

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q2 8:26

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q2 8:40

Mavericks 60 second timeout

Q2 8:41

Thunder makes three point jump shot

34-31

Q2 8:45

Isaiah Joe defensive rebound

Q2 8:48

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q2 8:56

Thunder personal foul

Q2 9:00

Thunder turnover

Q2 9:19

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q2 9:22

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q2 9:29

Thunder turnover

Q2 9:29

Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound

Q2 9:29

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II)

Q2 9:31

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q2 10:01

Mavericks violation

Q2 10:02

Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot

29-31

Q2 10:14

Thunder makes two point jump shot

29-29

Q2 10:32

Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound

Q2 10:35

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q2 10:52

Thunder makes two point jump shot

27-29

Q2 11:02

Mavericks turnover

Q2 11:09

Luka Doncic offensive rebound

Q2 11:11

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q2 11:29

Thunder makes two point jump shot

25-29

Q2 11:48

Mavericks makes three point jump shot

23-29

Q1 00:00

Mavericks offensive rebound

Q1 00:00

End of 1st Quarter.

Q2 12:00

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q2 12:00

Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)

Q1 00:02

Thunder makes three point jump shot

23-26

Q1 00:21

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q1 00:23

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q1 00:35

Thunder turnover

Q1 00:41

Thunder personal foul

Q1 00:41

Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2

20-25

Q1 00:41

Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2

20-26

Q1 00:41

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)

Q1 00:48

Thunder makes three point jump shot

20-24

Q1 00:59

Mavericks offensive rebound

Q1 00:59

Mavericks turnover

Q1 1:01

Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point bank jump shot

Q1 1:02

Derrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound

Q1 1:05

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q1 1:22

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q1 1:24

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 1:42

Mavericks personal foul

Q1 1:42

Josh Green turnover (offensive foul)

Q1 1:42

Mavericks 60 second timeout

Q1 1:42

Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q1 1:42

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)

Q1 2:00

Thunder makes two point jump shot

17-24

Q1 2:10

Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound

Q1 2:14

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q1 2:26

Daniel Gafford defensive rebound

Q1 2:29

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q1 2:52

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

15-24

Q1 3:01

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q1 3:01

Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q1 3:01

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace)

Q1 3:03

Daniel Gafford defensive rebound

Q1 3:07

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 3:22

Mavericks turnover

Q1 3:43

Dante Exum defensive rebound

Q1 3:44

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q1 4:07

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

15-22

Q1 4:19

Mavericks personal foul

Q1 4:19

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2

14-20

Q1 4:19

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2

15-20

Q1 4:19

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Dante Exum, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving)

Q1 4:30

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

13-20

Q1 4:33

P.J. Washington offensive rebound

Q1 4:33

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q1 4:36

Dereck Lively II offensive rebound

Q1 4:38

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q1 4:45

Dante Exum offensive rebound

Q1 4:48

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q1 5:06

Thunder turnover

Q1 5:08

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q1 5:10

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q1 5:25

Mavericks personal foul

Q1 5:25

Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2

12-18

Q1 5:25

Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2

13-18

Q1 5:36

Mavericks makes three point jump shot

11-18

Q1 5:47

Thunder violation

Q1 5:47

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)

Q1 5:47

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Dante Exum, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)

Q1 5:54

Dereck Lively II defensive rebound

Q1 5:57

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 6:02

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q1 6:04

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q1 6:05

Luka Doncic offensive rebound

Q1 6:07

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q1 6:12

Dereck Lively II offensive rebound

Q1 6:14

Mavericks misses two point jump shot

Q1 6:24

Kyrie Irving defensive rebound

Q1 6:27

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 6:42

Josh Giddey defensive rebound

Q1 6:56

Thunder makes two point jump shot

11-15

Q1 7:09

Mavericks personal foul

Q1 7:09

Dereck Lively II turnover (offensive foul)

Q1 7:15

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q1 7:18

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 7:34

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q1 7:34

Mavericks turnover

Q1 7:45

Thunder makes two point jump shot

9-15

Q1 8:03

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

7-15

Q1 8:24

Thunder makes two point jump shot

7-13

Q1 8:46

Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 3

5-13

Q1 8:46

Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 3 of 3

5-13

Q1 8:46

Mavericks offensive rebound

Q1 8:46

Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 3

Q1 8:46

Luguentz Dort shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)

Q1 8:46

Instant replay

Q1 8:54

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q1 8:57

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 8:59

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q1 9:10

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

5-11

Q1 9:13

Luka Doncic offensive rebound

Q1 9:15

Mavericks misses three point jump shot

Q1 9:29

Thunder turnover

Q1 9:51

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

5-8

Q1 9:51

Thunder personal foul

Q1 9:51

Derrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1

5-9

Q1 9:57

Thunder personal foul

Q1 10:02

Luka Doncic defensive rebound

Q1 10:05

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 10:16

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

5-6

Q1 10:30

Thunder makes three point jump shot

5-4

Q1 11:00

Thunder makes two point jump shot

2-2

Q1 11:18

Mavericks makes two point jump shot

0-2

Q1 11:27

Daniel Gafford defensive rebound

Q1 11:29

Mavericks personal foul

Q1 11:29

Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q1 11:29

Thunder offensive rebound

Q1 11:29

Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q1 11:33

Thunder offensive rebound

Q1 11:33

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q1 11:34

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q1 12:00

Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)

Q1 12:00

Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort)

Q1 12:00

(Luguentz Dort gains possession)

Box Score

Player Stats

Team Stats

Thunder

Pos	Player		Pts	Reb	Ast
C	7	C. Holmgren	13	8	3
G	2	S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	9	6
F	8	J. Williams	16	6	8
G	21	A. Wiggins	6	4	0
F	6	J. Williams	2	5	1

Mavericks

Pos	Player		Pts	Reb	Ast
G	77	L. Doncic	22	15	5
G-F	10	T. Hardaway Jr.	8	2	1
F	55	D. Jones Jr.	3	4	1
F	25	P. Washington	27	6	2
G	11	K. Irving	22	5	7

Game Prediction Article

Jason Bevilacqua

May 10, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [5/11/2024]

Read Article

Thunder vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Thunder vs. Mavericks
Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

Spread: Mavericks favored at -1.5
Total (Over/Under): 217.5
Moneyline Odds: Thunder +110, Mavericks -120

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Thunder: 43%
Mavericks: 57%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 107-109 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 43%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Game Prediction Article

Thunder vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Projected Final Score

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

Summary

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Game Prediction Article

Thunder vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Projected Final Score

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

Summary

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