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MLS
St Louis City vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. NY City MLS match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Apr 4, 7:30 PM ET Yankee Stadium
Apr 4, 7:30 PM ET Yankee Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
H. Wolf (50')
B. McSorley (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- NY City
- St Louis City
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for St. Louis City by B. McSorley, assisted by L. MacNaughton
1-1
Substitution for New York City: N. Cavallo replaces A. O'Neill
Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces A. Ojeda
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces Rafael Santos
Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces S. Becher
Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces K. Parks
Substitution for New York City: Raul Gustavo replaces T. Gray
Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces D. Edelman
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Teuchert replaces S. Cordova
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Perez replaces C. Durkin
D. Polvara (St. Louis City) cautioned
H. Wolf (New York City) cautioned
J. Orozco (St. Louis City) cautioned
Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf, assisted by M. Moralez
0-1
D. Edelman (St. Louis City) cautioned
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St Louis City vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: St Louis City vs. NY City
- Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: St Louis City +350, NY City -125, draw +290
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+108)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- St Louis City: 18.9%
- NY City: 60.3%
- Draw: 20.8%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-2 NY City (9.9%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win St Louis City vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score
NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.3%.
The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-2 NY City.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on St Louis City vs. NY City, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
