Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Cincinnati
2
4
Apr 4, 7:30 PM ET Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Apr 4, 7:30 PM ET Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
J. Hall (12')
Soccer ball icon
E. Forsberg (48')
Soccer ball icon
K. Smith (o.g.) (65')
Soccer ball icon
M. Sofo (90')
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P. Bucha (17')
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K. Smith (73')
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A. Powell (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by M. Sofo, assisted by R. Donkor
2-4
90'
Red Card
A. Powell (FC Cincinnati) sent off with a straight red card
86'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces E. Forsberg
84'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces M. Miazga
83'
Yellow Card
O. Valencia (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: N. Benedetti replaces A. Mehmeti
80'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces J. Ruvalcaba
80'
Yellow Card
M. Miazga (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Mboma replaces T. Barlow
75'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces K. Smith
75'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces N. Hagglund
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Smith
2-3
70'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: T. Rosborough replaces C. Cowell
70'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces M. Dos Santos
67'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces S. Gidi
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by K. Smith (o.g.)
1-3
58'
Yellow Card
R. Donkor (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. Forsberg
1-2
37'
Yellow Card
B. J. Ramirez Leon (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by P. Bucha, assisted by K. Denkey
1-1
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Hall, assisted by C. Cowell
0-1

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Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +270, NY Red Bulls -105, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 25.8%
  • NY Red Bulls: 52.0%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cincinnati 1-1 NY Red Bulls (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.0%.

The most likely correct score is Cincinnati 1-1 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.