Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on March 8, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Montreal
3
0
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
P. Owusu (pen.) (8')
Soccer ball icon
W. Carmona (44')
Soccer ball icon
W. Carmona (68')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Montreal
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces M. Longstaff
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: A. Rojas replaces J. Ruvalcaba
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mitchell replaces J. Hall
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: S. Piette replaces W. Carmona
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces J. Marshall-Rutty
  6. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by W. Carmona
    3-0
  7. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Mina replaces M. Dos Santos
  8. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mosquera replaces E. M. Choupo-Moting
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces P. Owusu
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Streit replaces Ivan Jaime
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Hidalgo replaces T. Aviles
  12. 50'
    Yellow Card
    J. Che (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  13. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by W. Carmona
    2-0
  14. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu (pen.)
    1-0

Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +475, NY Red Bulls -165, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-149/+126)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Montreal: 14.3%
  • NY Red Bulls: 66.2%
  • Draw: 19.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Montreal 0-2 NY Red Bulls (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.2%.

The most likely correct score is Montreal 0-2 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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