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Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls at the MLS on March 8, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Montreal
3
0
Mar 8, 8:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Mar 8, 8:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
P. Owusu (pen.) (8')
Soccer ball icon
W. Carmona (44')
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W. Carmona (68')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NY
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MTL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces M. Longstaff
85'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: A. Rojas replaces J. Ruvalcaba
85'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mitchell replaces J. Hall
81'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: S. Piette replaces W. Carmona
77'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces J. Marshall-Rutty
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by W. Carmona
3-0
61'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Mina replaces M. Dos Santos
61'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mosquera replaces E. M. Choupo-Moting
61'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces P. Owusu
61'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Streit replaces Ivan Jaime
61'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Hidalgo replaces T. Aviles
50'
Yellow Card
J. Che (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by W. Carmona
2-0
8'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu (pen.)
1-0

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Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +475, NY Red Bulls -165, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-149/+126)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Montreal: 14.3%
  • NY Red Bulls: 66.2%
  • Draw: 19.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Montreal 0-2 NY Red Bulls, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Montreal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 14.3% probability, while NY Red Bulls sits at 66.2%, with the draw at 19.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Montreal vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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