Toronto vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Cincinnati MLS match on March 8, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Toronto
1
0
TQL Stadium
Cincinnati
TQL Stadium
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
D. Salloi (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toronto
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Mboma replaces B. J. Ramirez Leon
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Coello replaces D. Mihailovic
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Smith replaces N. Hagglund
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces G. Flores
  5. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Salloi, assisted by R. Laryea
    1-0
  6. 81'
    Yellow Card
    N. Hagglund (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Evander replaces E. Echenique
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Kerr replaces E. Aristizabal
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Stefanovic replaces W. Zimmerman
  10. 73'
    Yellow Card
    J. Cifuentes (Toronto FC) cautioned
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces R. Edwards
  12. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces T. Barlow
  13. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Gidi replaces G. Valenzuela
  14. 25'
    Yellow Card
    B. Kuscevic (Toronto FC) cautioned
  15. 15'
    Yellow Card
    E. Echenique (FC Cincinnati) cautioned

Toronto vs. Cincinnati: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +380, Cincinnati -140, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-144/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 19.5%
  • Cincinnati: 58.1%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 0-1 Cincinnati (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Toronto vs. Cincinnati? Prediction & correct score

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.1%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 0-1 Cincinnati.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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