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Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. Atlanta at the MLS on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
1
3
Mar 14, 7:15PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
Mar 14, 7:15PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlantaATL
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
E. Latte Lath (28')
Soccer ball icon
T. Jacob (47')
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A. Miranchuk (68')
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A. Anello (87')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: M. Edwards replaces C. Sanchez
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: P. Amador replaces M. Almiron
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by A. Anello
1-3
85'
Yellow Card
T. Jacob (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces D. Jean Jacques
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Lobjanidze replaces A. Miranchuk
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Sery Larsen replaces P. Ndinga
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: F. Picault replaces E. Latte Lath
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Alzate replaces M. Galarza
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by A. Miranchuk
0-3
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces S. Korzeniowski
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Anello replaces I. Vassilev
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces M. Iloski
49'
Yellow Card
M. Galarza (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Jacob
0-2
45'
Yellow Card
S. Gregersen (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
43'
Penalty missed by M. Iloski for Philadelphia Union
41'
Yellow Card
E. Baez (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by E. Latte Lath
0-1

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Philadelphia vs. Atlanta: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Atlanta prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Atlanta
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +175, Atlanta +160, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 37.8%
  • Atlanta: 36.7%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 37.8% probability, while Atlanta sits at 36.7%, with the draw at 25.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Atlanta prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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