Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Atlanta MLS match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Philadelphia
1
3
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
AtlantaATL
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
E. Latte Lath (28')
Soccer ball icon
T. Jacob (47')
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A. Miranchuk (68')
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A. Anello (87')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlanta
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: M. Edwards replaces C. Sanchez
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: P. Amador replaces M. Almiron
  3. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by A. Anello
    1-3
  4. 85'
    Yellow Card
    T. Jacob (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces D. Jean Jacques
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Lobjanidze replaces A. Miranchuk
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Sery Larsen replaces P. Ndinga
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: F. Picault replaces E. Latte Lath
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Alzate replaces M. Galarza
  10. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by A. Miranchuk
    0-3
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces S. Korzeniowski
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Anello replaces I. Vassilev
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces M. Iloski
  14. 49'
    Yellow Card
    M. Galarza (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  15. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Jacob
    0-2
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    S. Gregersen (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  17. 43'
    Penalty missed by M. Iloski for Philadelphia Union
  18. 41'
    Yellow Card
    E. Baez (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  19. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by E. Latte Lath
    0-1

Philadelphia vs. Atlanta: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Atlanta
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +175, Atlanta +160, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 37.8%
  • Atlanta: 36.7%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Philadelphia vs. Atlanta? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.8%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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