Miami vs. Orlando Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Miami vs. Orlando MLS match on March 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Miami
4
2
Mar 1, 7:00 PM ET
Orlando
Mar 1, 7:00 PM ET
OrlandoORL
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
M. Pasalic (18')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ojeda (23')
Soccer ball icon
C. Guske (88')
Red Card icon
M. Silvetti (49')
Soccer ball icon
L. Messi (57')
Soccer ball icon
T. Segovia (85')
Soccer ball icon
L. Messi (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orlando
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Miami
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi
4-2
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: G. Lujan replaces T. Allende
90'
Yellow Card
T. Segovia (Inter Miami) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
R. de Paul (Inter Miami) cautioned
88'
Red Card
C. Guske (Orlando City) sent off for a second yellow card
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Segovia
3-2
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: E. Atuesta replaces I. Angulo
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: Tiago replaces M. Pasalic
75'
Yellow Card
M. Pasalic (Orlando City) cautioned
71'
Yellow Card
G. Dorsey (Orlando City) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces D. McGuire
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: Iago Teodoro replaces N. Miller
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by T. Segovia
2-2
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by M. Silvetti
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: M. Silvetti replaces N. Allen
45'
Yellow Card
C. Guske (Orlando City) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
N. Miller (Orlando City) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
T. Allende (Inter Miami) cautioned
23'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda, assisted by G. Dorsey
0-2
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Pasalic, assisted by I. Angulo
0-1

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Miami vs. Orlando: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Orlando
  • Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami -120, Orlando +340, draw +330

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Miami: 42.4%
  • Orlando: 36.0%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Miami 1-1 Orlando (8.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Miami vs. Orlando? Prediction & correct score

Miami is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.4%.

The most likely correct score is Miami 1-1 Orlando.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Miami vs. Orlando, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.