Orlando vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Orlando vs. NY City MLS match on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Orlando
0
5
Mar 7, 2:30 PM ET Yankee Stadium
NY City
Mar 7, 2:30 PM ET Yankee Stadium
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
A. Ojeda (21')
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N. Mercau (42')
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M. Moralez (pen.) (45')
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K. Parks (49')
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K. Parks (54')
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M. Crepeau (16')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Orlando
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces N. Mercau
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: Tiago replaces M. Pasalic
71'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Carrizo replaces A. Ojeda
71'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces Thiago Martins
71'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: Raul Gustavo replaces K. Parks
62'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces M. Moralez
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: E. Atuesta replaces M. Ojeda
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by K. Parks
0-5
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by K. Parks, assisted by T. Gray
0-4
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: D. McGuire replaces Luis Otavio
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: A. Marin replaces T. Reid-Brown
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by M. Moralez (pen.)
0-3
42'
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Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau
0-2
21'
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Goal scored for New York City by A. Ojeda
0-1
19'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: J. Otero replaces T. Spicer
16'
Red Card
M. Crepeau (Orlando City) sent off with a straight red card
7'
Yellow Card
T. Reid-Brown (Orlando City) cautioned

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Orlando vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. NY City
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +425, NY City -159, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+142)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Orlando: 21.7%
  • NY City: 57.3%
  • Draw: 21.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Orlando 1-2 NY City (9.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Orlando vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score

NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.3%.

The most likely correct score is Orlando 1-2 NY City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Orlando vs. NY City, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.