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Orlando vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Orlando vs. NY City at the MLS on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
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5
Mar 7, 7:30PM Yankee Stadium
Mar 7, 7:30PM Yankee Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
A. Ojeda (21')
N. Mercau (42')
M. Moralez (pen.) (45')
K. Parks (49')
K. Parks (54')
M. Crepeau (16')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces N. Mercau
Substitution for Orlando City: Tiago replaces M. Pasalic
Substitution for New York City: M. Carrizo replaces A. Ojeda
Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces Thiago Martins
Substitution for New York City: Raul Gustavo replaces K. Parks
Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces M. Moralez
Substitution for Orlando City: E. Atuesta replaces M. Ojeda
Goal scored for New York City by K. Parks
0-5
Goal scored for New York City by K. Parks, assisted by T. Gray
0-4
Substitution for Orlando City: D. McGuire replaces Luis Otavio
Substitution for Orlando City: A. Marin replaces T. Reid-Brown
Goal scored for New York City by M. Moralez (pen.)
0-3
Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau
0-2
Goal scored for New York City by A. Ojeda
0-1
Substitution for Orlando City: J. Otero replaces T. Spicer
M. Crepeau (Orlando City) sent off with a straight red card
T. Reid-Brown (Orlando City) cautioned
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Orlando vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Orlando vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Orlando vs. NY City
- Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Orlando +425, NY City -159, draw +340
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+142)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Orlando: 21.7%
- NY City: 57.3%
- Draw: 21.0%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Orlando 1-2 NY City, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Orlando is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.7% probability, while NY City sits at 57.3%, with the draw at 21.0%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Orlando vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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