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Minnesota vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Minnesota vs. Nashville at the MLS on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Minnesota
1
3
Mar 8, 1:30AM Geodis Park
Nashville
Mar 8, 1:30AM Geodis Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
S. Surridge (26')
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C. Espinoza (33')
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S. Surridge (48')
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N. Triantis (35')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NSH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Gressel (Minnesota United) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Pacius replaces S. Surridge
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: O. Gene replaces W. Trapp
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Qasem replaces H. Mukhtar
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: D. Taylor replaces D. Padelford
81'
Yellow Card
J. Palacios (Nashville SC) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Madrigal replaces C. Espinoza
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: R. Baker-Whiting replaces A. Najar
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: K. Duncan replaces A. Markanich
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Dieng replaces N. Triantis
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Gressel replaces B. Hlongwane
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces D. Lovitz
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge
1-3
35'
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Goal scored for Minnesota United by N. Triantis
1-2
33'
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Goal scored for Nashville SC by C. Espinoza
0-2
26'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge
0-1

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Minnesota vs. Nashville: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Minnesota vs. Nashville prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. Nashville
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Geodis Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +380, Nashville -143, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Minnesota: 19.6%
  • Nashville: 58.0%
  • Draw: 22.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Minnesota 0-1 Nashville, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Minnesota is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.6% probability, while Nashville sits at 58.0%, with the draw at 22.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Minnesota vs. Nashville prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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