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Miami vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Miami vs. D.C. United at the MLS on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Miami
2
1
Mar 7, 9:30PM Audi Field
D.C. United
Mar 7, 9:30PM Audi Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
T. Baribo (75')
Soccer ball icon
R. de Paul (17')
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L. Messi (27')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
DC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces M. Peltola
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: G. Lujan replaces T. Segovia
87'
Yellow Card
D. St.Clair (Inter Miami) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: C. Clark replaces J. Hopkins
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo
2-1
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Allende replaces M. Silvetti
61'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: N. Markovic replaces B. Servania
61'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: L. Munteanu replaces Gabriel Pirani
58'
Yellow Card
Peglow (DC United) cautioned
27'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi
2-0
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by R. de Paul
1-0

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Miami vs. D.C. United: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Miami vs. D.C. United prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami -149, D.C. United +380, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-164/+135)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Miami: 61.1%
  • D.C. United: 19.1%
  • Draw: 19.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Miami 2-1 D.C. United, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Miami is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 61.1% probability, while D.C. United sits at 19.1%, with the draw at 19.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Miami vs. D.C. United prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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