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Atlanta vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atlanta vs. San Jose at the MLS on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
Atlanta
0
2
Mar 1, 12:30AM PayPal Park
San Jose
Mar 1, 12:30AM PayPal Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
AtlantaATL
P. Judd (24')
Soccer ball icon
O. Bouda (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
D. Jones (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces N. Tsakiris
90'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Fernandez replaces O. Bouda
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by O. Bouda
0-2
77'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza replaces B. Leroux
77'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces J. Ricketts
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: P. Amador replaces C. Sanchez
61'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Werner replaces P. Judd
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Miranchuk replaces S. Lobjanidze
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: T. Muyumba replaces R. Hernandez
52'
Yellow Card
R. Hernandez (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
C. Sanchez (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by J. Ricketts
0-1
16'
Yellow Card
E. Latte Lath (Atlanta Utd) cautioned

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Atlanta vs. San Jose: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atlanta vs. San Jose prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlanta vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta +260, San Jose +100, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atlanta: 27.5%
  • San Jose: 50.5%
  • Draw: 22.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atlanta 1-1 San Jose, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atlanta is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.5% probability, while San Jose sits at 50.5%, with the draw at 22.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atlanta vs. San Jose prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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