New England vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the New England vs. Nashville MLS match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
New England
1
4
Feb 21, 8:30 PM ET Geodis Park
Nashville
Feb 21, 8:30 PM ET Geodis Park
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
S. Surridge (5')
Soccer ball icon
S. Surridge (16')
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H. Mukhtar (39')
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W. Madrigal (49')
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L. Campana (47')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nashville
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • New England
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: B. Acosta replaces E. Tagseth
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Qasem replaces C. Espinoza
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Pacius replaces S. Surridge
82'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: I. Feingold replaces K. Hughes
82'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: A. Yusuf replaces M. Polster
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: M. Corcoran replaces P. Yazbek
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces A. Najar
68'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: M. Fry replaces G. Yow
61'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Langoni replaces D. Turgeman
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Muyl replaces W. Madrigal
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by W. Madrigal
1-4
48'
Yellow Card
G. Yow (New England Revolution) cautioned
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by L. Campana
1-3
45'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: T. Beason replaces W. Sands
39'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by H. Mukhtar, assisted by W. Madrigal
0-3
16'
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Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge
0-2
5'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge, assisted by W. Madrigal
0-1

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New England vs. Nashville: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Nashville
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Geodis Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +500, Nashville -190, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • New England: 17.0%
  • Nashville: 62.8%
  • Draw: 20.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: New England 1-2 Nashville (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win New England vs. Nashville? Prediction & correct score

Nashville is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 62.8%.

The most likely correct score is New England 1-2 Nashville.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on New England vs. Nashville, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.