NY City vs. LA Galaxy Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. LA Galaxy MLS match on February 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
NY City
1
:
1
Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy
Dignity Health Sports Park
LA GalaxyLAG
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
Joao Klauss (2')
Soccer ball icon
C. Garces (65')
Red Card icon
N. Mercau (pen.) (66')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • LA Galaxy
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • NY City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: Matheus Nascimento replaces Joao Klauss
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces H. Wolf
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces K. Trewin
  4. 86'
    Yellow Card
    K. Parks (New York City) cautioned
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: D. Baiera replaces T. Gray
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: K. Parks replaces A. O'Neill
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Yoshida replaces M. Reus
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: J. Nelson replaces J. Aude
  9. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau (pen.)
    1-1
  10. 65'
    Red Card
    C. Garces (Los Angeles Galaxy) sent off for a second yellow card
  11. 59'
    Yellow Card
    J. Aude (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  12. 56'
    Yellow Card
    K. Trewin (New York City) cautioned
  13. 42'
    Yellow Card
    T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
  14. 36'
    Yellow Card
    C. Garces (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  15. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by Joao Klauss
    0-1

NY City vs. LA Galaxy: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. LA Galaxy
  • Date: Sunday, February 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Dignity Health Sports Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +220, LA Galaxy +120, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-134/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY City: 32.6%
  • LA Galaxy: 43.5%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY City 1-1 LA Galaxy (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win NY City vs. LA Galaxy? Prediction & correct score

LA Galaxy is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.5%.

The most likely correct score is NY City 1-1 LA Galaxy.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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