LAFC vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LAFC vs. Houston MLS match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
LAFC
2
0
Feb 28, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Feb 28, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
LAFCLAFC
Antonio Carlos (45')
Red Card icon
A. Bouzat (76')
Red Card icon
M. Delgado (56')
Soccer ball icon
S. Eustaquio (82')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LAFC
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: K. Nielsen replaces R. Porteous
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: T. Boyd replaces T. Tillman
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Arana replaces J. McGlynn
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces Guilherme
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces E. Sviatchenko
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: M. Choiniere replaces M. Delgado
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: R. Hollingshead replaces S. Palencia
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by S. Eustaquio
2-0
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces D. Holmes
76'
Red Card
A. Bouzat (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: A. Boudri replaces D. Martinez
63'
Yellow Card
R. Porteous (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by M. Delgado
1-0
51'
Yellow Card
M. Delgado (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Resch replaces O. Lingr
45'
Red Card
Antonio Carlos (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
35'
Yellow Card
D. Bouanga (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
22'
Yellow Card
J. McGlynn (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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LAFC vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LAFC vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LAFC +105, Houston +290, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LAFC: 48.9%
  • Houston: 26.1%
  • Draw: 25.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LAFC 1-1 Houston (11.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win LAFC vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

LAFC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.9%.

The most likely correct score is LAFC 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on LAFC vs. Houston, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.