LAFC vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LAFC vs. Houston MLS match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
LAFC
2
0
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
LAFCLAFC
Antonio Carlos (45')
Red Card icon
A. Bouzat (76')
Red Card icon
M. Delgado (56')
Soccer ball icon
S. Eustaquio (82')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LAFC
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: K. Nielsen replaces R. Porteous
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: T. Boyd replaces T. Tillman
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Arana replaces J. McGlynn
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces Guilherme
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces E. Sviatchenko
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: M. Choiniere replaces M. Delgado
  7. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: R. Hollingshead replaces S. Palencia
  8. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by S. Eustaquio
    2-0
  9. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces D. Holmes
  10. 76'
    Red Card
    A. Bouzat (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
  11. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: A. Boudri replaces D. Martinez
  12. 63'
    Yellow Card
    R. Porteous (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
  13. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by M. Delgado
    1-0
  14. 51'
    Yellow Card
    M. Delgado (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Resch replaces O. Lingr
  16. 45'
    Red Card
    Antonio Carlos (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
  17. 35'
    Yellow Card
    D. Bouanga (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
  18. 22'
    Yellow Card
    J. McGlynn (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

LAFC vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LAFC vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LAFC +105, Houston +290, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LAFC: 48.9%
  • Houston: 26.1%
  • Draw: 25.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LAFC 1-1 Houston (11.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win LAFC vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

LAFC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.9%.

The most likely correct score is LAFC 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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