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LAFC vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for LAFC vs. Houston at the MLS on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LAFC
2
0
Mar 1, 1:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Mar 1, 1:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
LAFCLAFC
Antonio Carlos (45')
Red Card icon
A. Bouzat (76')
Red Card icon
M. Delgado (56')
Soccer ball icon
S. Eustaquio (82')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
LAFC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: K. Nielsen replaces R. Porteous
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: T. Boyd replaces T. Tillman
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Arana replaces J. McGlynn
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces Guilherme
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces E. Sviatchenko
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: M. Choiniere replaces M. Delgado
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: R. Hollingshead replaces S. Palencia
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by S. Eustaquio
2-0
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces D. Holmes
76'
Red Card
A. Bouzat (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: A. Boudri replaces D. Martinez
63'
Yellow Card
R. Porteous (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by M. Delgado
1-0
51'
Yellow Card
M. Delgado (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Resch replaces O. Lingr
45'
Red Card
Antonio Carlos (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
35'
Yellow Card
D. Bouanga (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
22'
Yellow Card
J. McGlynn (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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LAFC vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' LAFC vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: LAFC vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LAFC +105, Houston +290, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/+115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • LAFC: 48.9%
  • Houston: 26.1%
  • Draw: 25.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is LAFC 1-1 Houston, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

LAFC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 48.9% probability, while Houston sits at 26.1%, with the draw at 25.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' LAFC vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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