Montreal vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Montreal vs. Chicago MLS match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Montreal
0
3
Soldier Field
Chicago
Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
J. Bamba (27')
Soccer ball icon
J. Dean (56')
Red Card icon
H. Cuypers (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
R. Lod (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Montreal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    T. Gillier (CF Montreal) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers (pen.)
    0-2
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Lod replaces P. Zinckernagel
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by R. Lod
    0-3
  5. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. D'Avilla replaces M. Pineda
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: W. Carmona replaces M. Longstaff
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces Ivan Jaime
  8. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Bugaj replaces A. Guboglo
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Streit replaces B. Vera
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Waterman replaces J. Bamba
  11. 56'
    Red Card
    J. Dean (Chicago Fire) sent off with a straight red card
  12. 53'
    Yellow Card
    Ivan Jaime (CF Montreal) cautioned
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Craig replaces J. Neal
  14. 44'
    Yellow Card
    P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  15. 30'
    Yellow Card
    B. Vera (CF Montreal) cautioned
  16. 27'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Bamba
    0-1

Montreal vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +450, Chicago -165, draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Montreal: 17.1%
  • Chicago: 61.8%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Montreal 0-1 Chicago (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Montreal vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 61.8%.

The most likely correct score is Montreal 0-1 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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