Columbus vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Columbus vs. Philadelphia MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Columbus
1
:
1
Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Subaru Park
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
ColumbusCLB
M. Iloski (70')
Soccer ball icon
H. Picard (10')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Columbus
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: T. Habroune replaces D. Gazdag
  2. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: A. Sejdic replaces S. Bangoura
  3. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski, assisted by A. Anello
    1-1
  4. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: A. Herrera replaces M. Farsi
  5. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: D. Chambost replaces A. Gomes
  6. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces B. Damiani
  7. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Anello replaces J. Lukic
  8. 45'
    Yellow Card
    O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  9. 30'
    Yellow Card
    R. Camacho (Columbus Crew) cautioned
  10. 26'
    Yellow Card
    M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  11. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Columbus Crew by H. Picard
    1-0
  12. 9'
    Yellow Card
    B. Bender (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

Columbus vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Columbus vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Columbus +185, Philadelphia +145, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Columbus: 30.9%
  • Philadelphia: 44.1%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Columbus 1-1 Philadelphia (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Columbus vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.1%.

The most likely correct score is Columbus 1-1 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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