Chicago vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. D.C. United MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Chicago
3
1
Audi Field
D.C. United
Audi Field
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
T. Baribo (41')
Soccer ball icon
R. Lod (62')
Soccer ball icon
H. Cuypers (71')
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M. Haile-Selassie (87')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chicago
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Mueller replaces P. Zinckernagel
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Shokalook replaces H. Cuypers
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gutman (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  4. 89'
    Yellow Card
    J. Dean (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by M. Haile-Selassie
    3-1
  6. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces J. Hopkins
  7. 75'
    Yellow Card
    J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  8. 71'
    Penalty missed by P. Zinckernagel for Chicago Fire
  9. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
    2-1
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces T. Baribo
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces R. Lod
  12. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by R. Lod, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
    1-1
  13. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces J. Bamba
  14. 48'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bamba (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  15. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo
    0-1
  16. 19'
    Yellow Card
    D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned

Chicago vs. D.C. United: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +150, D.C. United +190, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 38.8%
  • D.C. United: 36.1%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-1 D.C. United (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Chicago vs. D.C. United? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.8%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-1 D.C. United.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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