Miami vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Miami vs. Cincinnati MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Miami
5
3
May 13, 7:30 PM ET TQL Stadium
Cincinnati
May 13, 7:30 PM ET TQL Stadium
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
K. Denkey (pen.) (41')
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P. Bucha (49')
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Evander (64')
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L. Messi (24')
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L. Messi (55')
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M. Silvetti (79')
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G. Berterame (84')
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L. Messi (89')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Miami
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Evander (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by M. Silvetti
5-3
87'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces P. Bucha
87'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Lajhar replaces A. Chirila
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by G. Berterame
4-3
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by M. Silvetti, assisted by L. Messi
3-3
77'
Yellow Card
Y. Bright (Inter Miami) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: M. Silvetti replaces L. Suarez
76'
Yellow Card
O. Nwobodo (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: O. Nwobodo replaces K. Mboma
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Chirila replaces M. Miazga
72'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: N. Hagglund replaces M. Robinson
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Mura replaces S. Reguilon
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander, assisted by K. Denkey
2-3
60'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: E. Echenique replaces S. Gidi
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by R. de Paul
2-2
49'
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Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by P. Bucha, assisted by B. J. Ramirez Leon
1-2
41'
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Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey (pen.)
1-1
40'
Yellow Card
G. Lujan (Inter Miami) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
I. Fray (Inter Miami) cautioned
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi
1-0

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Miami vs. Cincinnati: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +110, Cincinnati +220, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-350/+260)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Miami: 44.4%
  • Cincinnati: 35.5%
  • Draw: 20.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Miami 2-1 Cincinnati (7.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Miami vs. Cincinnati? Prediction & correct score

Miami is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.4%.

The most likely correct score is Miami 2-1 Cincinnati.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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