Sporting KC vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Sporting KC vs. San Jose in the World Cup on April 19, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Sporting KC
5
3
Apr 20, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
Apr 20, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
J. Martinez (30')
Soccer ball icon
C. Arango (42')
Soccer ball icon
C. Arango (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
L. Ndenbe (18')
Soccer ball icon
D. Salloi (20')
Soccer ball icon
M. Garcia (24')
Soccer ball icon
D. Salloi (73')
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E. Thommy (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SKC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Rodriguez replaces M. Garcia
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: W. Agada replaces D. Joveljic
90'
Yellow Card
J. Pulskamp (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango (pen.)
5-3
88'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Floriani replaces Rodrigues
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by E. Thommy, assisted by M. Garcia
5-2
81'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Judd replaces B. Leroux
78'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces Vitor Costa
78'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: A. Pellegrino replaces N. Tsakiris
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Salloi
4-2
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: E. Thommy replaces S. Suleymanov
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong replaces N. Radoja
52'
Yellow Card
Rodrigues (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces M. Kaye
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Voloder replaces J. Fernandez
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango
3-2
41'
Yellow Card
L. Ndenbe (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
M. Kaye (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Martinez, assisted by Rodrigues
3-1
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by M. Garcia
3-0
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Salloi, assisted by J. Pulskamp
2-0
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by L. Ndenbe
1-0

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Sporting KC vs. San Jose: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. San Jose prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sporting KC +260, San Jose -107, draw +300

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 25.8%
  • San Jose: 52.4%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Sporting KC 1-1 San Jose.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.4%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. San Jose prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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