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St Louis City vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on April 5, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
0
2
Apr 6, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
Apr 6, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
D. Joveljic (71')
Soccer ball icon
D. Joveljic (88')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Toye replaces D. Joveljic
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic
0-2
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: E. Thommy replaces S. Suleymanov
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Rosero replaces J. Fernandez
79'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Teuchert replaces A. Morales
77'
Yellow Card
T. Ostrak (St. Louis City) cautioned
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic
0-1
65'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces C. Pompeu
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: N. Radoja replaces K. Shelton
42'
Yellow Card
J. Bartlett (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
J. Davis (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
28'
Yellow Card
C. Wallem (St. Louis City) cautioned
26'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces J. Nilsson

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St Louis City vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +265, Sporting KC +110, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+108)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 30.7%
  • Sporting KC: 44.0%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 30.7% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 44.0%, with the draw at 25.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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