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D.C. United vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for D.C. United vs. San Jose at the MLS on April 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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D.C. United
1
6
Apr 6, 9PM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
Apr 6, 9PM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
C. Arango (9')
Soccer ball icon
J. Martinez (16')
Soccer ball icon
C. Espinoza (pen.) (20')
Soccer ball icon
J. Martinez (81')
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A. Pellegrino (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Martinez (90')
Soccer ball icon
C. Benteke (45')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
DC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by A. Pellegrino
1-5
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Martinez, assisted by C. Espinoza
1-6
85'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces C. Arango
85'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Verhoeven replaces B. Leroux
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Martinez, assisted by A. Pellegrino
1-4
77'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces Vitor Costa
73'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: R. Leal replaces M. Peltola
72'
Yellow Card
L. Bartlett (DC United) cautioned
70'
Yellow Card
Vitor Costa (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Kaye replaces I. Harkes
69'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: A. Pellegrino replaces N. Tsakiris
64'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces D. Badji
64'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces Peglow
60'
Yellow Card
D. Romney (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: A. Herrera replaces D. Dodson
46'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: R. Zouhir replaces H. Kijima
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by C. Benteke
1-3
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Espinoza (pen.)
0-3
18'
Yellow Card
C. Benteke (DC United) cautioned
16'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Martinez, assisted by N. Tsakiris
0-2
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango, assisted by C. Espinoza
0-1

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D.C. United vs. San Jose: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' D.C. United vs. San Jose prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. San Jose
  • Date: Sunday, April 6, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +225, San Jose +110, draw +300

Dimers' win probabilities

  • D.C. United: 29.8%
  • San Jose: 47.8%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is D.C. United 1-1 San Jose, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

D.C. United is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.8% probability, while San Jose sits at 47.8%, with the draw at 22.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' D.C. United vs. San Jose prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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