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Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls at the MLS on April 5, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Chicago
1
2
Apr 5, 11:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, New Jersey)
NY Red Bulls
Apr 5, 11:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, New Jersey)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
S. Ngoma (41')
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E. M. Choupo-Moting (pen.) (45')
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J. Bamba (32')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NY
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: W. Bogacz replaces E. M. Choupo-Moting
87'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: S. Nealis replaces E. Forsberg
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces A. Gutman
76'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: P. Stroud replaces F. Carballo
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: W. Carmona replaces M. Sofo
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Gjengaar replaces S. Ngoma
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: O. Glasgow replaces J. Reynolds
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces K. Acosta
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces R. Kouame
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. M. Choupo-Moting (pen.)
1-2
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by S. Ngoma
1-1
37'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: O. Gonzalez replaces S. Rogers
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Bamba
1-0

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Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +310, NY Red Bulls -115, draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chicago: 25.4%
  • NY Red Bulls: 50.7%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 1-1 NY Red Bulls, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.4% probability, while NY Red Bulls sits at 50.7%, with the draw at 23.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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