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New England vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for New England vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on April 5, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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New England
0
1
Apr 5, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
Apr 5, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
Sergio Santos (65')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NE
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: G. Valenzuela replaces L. Engel
84'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Chirila replaces Sergio Santos
83'
Yellow Card
P. Miller (New England Revolution) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces C. Baird
73'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Diaz replaces L. Langoni
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Sergio Santos, assisted by P. Bucha
0-1
58'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Sergio Santos replaces B. Smith
55'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: J. Yueill replaces M. Urruti
52'
Yellow Card
M. Polster (New England Revolution) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
L. Orellano (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
14'
Yellow Card
K. Denkey (FC Cincinnati) cautioned

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New England vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' New England vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +380, Cincinnati -130, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+114)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • New England: 17.6%
  • Cincinnati: 61.5%
  • Draw: 20.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is New England 0-2 Cincinnati, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

New England is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.6% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 61.5%, with the draw at 20.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' New England vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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