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St Louis City vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on March 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
0
1
Mar 22, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
Mar 22, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
I. Glavinovich (8')
Soccer ball icon
E. Lowen (66')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Nilsson replaces C. Wallem
85'
Yellow Card
A. Morales (St. Louis City) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces M. Uhre
81'
Yellow Card
A. Rick (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Pompeu replaces C. Teuchert
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces I. Glavinovich
71'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Yaro replaces K. Hiebert
71'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: Joao Klauss replaces S. Becher
71'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Morales replaces C. Durkin
66'
Red Card
E. Lowen (St. Louis City) sent off for a second yellow card
58'
Yellow Card
O. Mbaizo (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
55'
Yellow Card
E. Lowen (St. Louis City) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
C. Durkin (St. Louis City) cautioned
27'
Yellow Card
I. Glavinovich (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
20'
Yellow Card
K. Hiebert (St. Louis City) cautioned
8'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by I. Glavinovich, assisted by K. Wagner
0-1

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St Louis City vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, March 22, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +210, Philadelphia +135, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-148/+128)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 26.7%
  • Philadelphia: 50.5%
  • Draw: 22.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 1-1 Philadelphia, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.7% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 50.5%, with the draw at 22.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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