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Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls at the MLS on March 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Toronto
1
2
Mar 22, 11:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, New Jersey)
NY Red Bulls
Mar 22, 11:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, New Jersey)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
E. Forsberg (pen.) (44')
Soccer ball icon
E. Forsberg (76')
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F. Carballo (90')
Red Card icon
D. Kerr (70')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NY
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: T. Parker replaces E. Forsberg
90'
Yellow Card
F. Carballo (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
90'
Red Card
F. Carballo (New York Red Bulls) sent off for a second yellow card
88'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Donkor replaces S. Ngoma
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. Forsberg
1-2
73'
Yellow Card
D. Etienne (Toronto FC) cautioned
73'
Yellow Card
S. Ngoma (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Franklin replaces N. Gomis
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Kerr
1-1
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: F. Carballo replaces P. Stroud
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: S. Ngoma replaces W. Carmona
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Kerr replaces M. Cimermancic
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces R. Petretta
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Thompson replaces H. Wingo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: S. Rosted replaces Z. Monlouis
45'
Yellow Card
R. Petretta (Toronto FC) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
F. Bernardeschi (Toronto FC) cautioned
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. Forsberg (pen.)
0-1
24'
Yellow Card
M. Longstaff (Toronto FC) cautioned

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Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, March 22, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +425, NY Red Bulls -137, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-135)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Toronto: 16.3%
  • NY Red Bulls: 61.5%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Toronto 0-1 NY Red Bulls, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Toronto is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 16.3% probability, while NY Red Bulls sits at 61.5%, with the draw at 22.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Toronto vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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