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Chicago vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. Toronto at the MLS on March 15, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Chicago
2
1
Mar 15, 6:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
Toronto
Mar 15, 6:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
D. Kerr (11')
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A. Gutman (30')
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H. Cuypers (44')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces H. Cuypers
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Williams replaces B. Gutierrez
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces D. Kerr
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Cimermancic replaces M. Longstaff
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Corbeanu replaces T. Spicer
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Flores replaces A. Coello
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: O. Glasgow replaces P. Zinckernagel
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces J. Bamba
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Stefanovic replaces K. Long
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers, assisted by L. Barroso
2-1
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by A. Gutman, assisted by J. Bamba
1-1
17'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: L. Barroso replaces J. Dean
11'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Kerr
0-1

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Chicago vs. Toronto: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chicago vs. Toronto prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, March 15, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +230, Toronto +120, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+112)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chicago: 31.9%
  • Toronto: 43.5%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 1-1 Toronto, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.9% probability, while Toronto sits at 43.5%, with the draw at 24.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chicago vs. Toronto prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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