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Nashville vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Nashville vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on March 16, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Nashville
3
1
Mar 16, 6:25PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
Mar 16, 6:25PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
NashvilleNSH
J. Lukic (33')
Soccer ball icon
O. Makhanya (90')
Red Card icon
S. Surridge (15')
Soccer ball icon
A. Qasem (44')
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H. Mukhtar (pen.) (82')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NSH
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Bunbury replaces H. Mukhtar
90'
Yellow Card
B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
90'
Penalty missed by Q. Sullivan for Philadelphia Union
90'
Red Card
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) sent off with a straight red card
88'
Yellow Card
K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
E. Tagseth (Nashville SC) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces T. Baribo
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces D. Gazdag
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces A. Najar
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: G. Brugman replaces P. Yazbek
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by H. Mukhtar (pen.)
3-1
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: I. Vassilev replaces D. Jean Jacques
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Shaffelburg replaces A. Qasem
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Damiani replaces M. Uhre
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: N. Harriel replaces F. Westfield
45'
Yellow Card
P. Yazbek (Nashville SC) cautioned
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by A. Qasem, assisted by D. Lovitz
2-1
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Lukic
1-1
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge, assisted by W. Zimmerman
1-0

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Nashville vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Nashville vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Nashville vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Sunday, March 16, 2025
  • Time: 2:25 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Nashville +310, Philadelphia -110, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+106)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Nashville: 16.1%
  • Philadelphia: 63.5%
  • Draw: 20.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Nashville 0-2 Philadelphia, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Nashville is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 16.1% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 63.5%, with the draw at 20.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Nashville vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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