NY City vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Miami MLS match on November 29, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
NY City
1
5
Chase Stadium
Miami
Chase Stadium
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
T. Allende (14')
Soccer ball icon
T. Allende (23')
Soccer ball icon
M. Silvetti (67')
Soccer ball icon
T. Segovia (83')
Soccer ball icon
T. Allende (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Haak (37')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Miami
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
    1-5
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Garfield Reid replaces M. Moralez
  3. 87'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Bright (Inter Miami) cautioned
  4. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Segovia, assisted by J. Alba
    1-4
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: L. Suarez replaces M. Silvetti
  6. 74'
    Yellow Card
    J. Haak (New York City) cautioned
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Segovia replaces B. Rodriguez
  8. 70'
    Yellow Card
    B. Rodriguez (Inter Miami) cautioned
  9. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by M. Silvetti
    1-3
  10. 66'
    Yellow Card
    K. O'Toole (New York City) cautioned
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Fernandez replaces A. Ojeda
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: I. Fray replaces M. Weigandt
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: Y. Bright replaces N. Allen
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: H. Wolf replaces J. Shore
  15. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by J. Haak, assisted by M. Moralez
    1-2
  16. 34'
    Yellow Card
    N. Allen (Inter Miami) cautioned
  17. 31'
    Yellow Card
    N. Mercau (New York City) cautioned
  18. 23'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
    0-2
  19. 22'
    Yellow Card
    M. Weigandt (Inter Miami) cautioned
  20. 20'
    Yellow Card
    M. Moralez (New York City) cautioned
  21. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
    0-1

NY City vs. Miami: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Miami
  • Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +500, Miami -190, draw +360

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY City: 20.9%
  • Miami: 59.0%
  • Draw: 20.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY City 1-2 Miami (9.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win NY City vs. Miami? Prediction & correct score

Miami is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.0%.

The most likely correct score is NY City 1-2 Miami.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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