Philadelphia vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Chicago MLS match on November 1, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Philadelphia
3
0
Soldier Field
Chicago
Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
T. Baribo (8')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (16')
Soccer ball icon
B. Damiani (35')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces T. Baribo
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces B. Damiani
  3. 69'
    Yellow Card
    M. Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  4. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: I. Vassilev replaces M. Iloski
  5. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces D. D'Avilla
  6. 63'
    Yellow Card
    D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  7. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces J. Dean
  8. 40'
    Yellow Card
    M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  9. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani, assisted by M. Iloski
    3-0
  10. 32'
    Penalty missed by B. Gutierrez for Chicago Fire
  11. 31'
    Yellow Card
    D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  12. 26'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces R. Kouame
  13. 19'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bamba (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  14. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by T. Baribo
    2-0
  15. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by T. Baribo
    1-0

Philadelphia vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
  • Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +210, Chicago +125, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+136)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 32.0%
  • Chicago: 44.4%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 Chicago (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Philadelphia vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.4%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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