San Jose vs. Vancouver Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Vancouver MLS match on October 5, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
San Jose
1
4
Vancouver
VancouverVAN
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
R. Elloumi (39')
Soccer ball icon
T. Muller (57')
Soccer ball icon
S. Berhalter (74')
Soccer ball icon
S. Berhalter (90')
Soccer ball icon
B. Leroux (89')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Vancouver
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Jose
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Vancouver Whitecaps by S. Berhalter, assisted by T. Muller
    1-4
  2. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by B. Leroux
    1-3
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: G. Bovalina replaces E. Ocampo
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Leroux replaces R. Vieira
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: K. G. Cabrera Nakamura replaces J. Nelson
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: R. Gauld replaces A. Ahmed
  7. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Vancouver Whitecaps by S. Berhalter, assisted by J. Badwal
    0-3
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: J. Badwal replaces A. Cubas
  9. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: D. Rios replaces R. Elloumi
  10. 67'
    Yellow Card
    P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces O. Bouda
  12. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: D. Romney replaces M. Floriani
  13. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Judd replaces B. Kikanovic
  14. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Vancouver Whitecaps by T. Muller, assisted by A. Ahmed
    0-2
  15. 47'
    Yellow Card
    E. Ocampo (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Buck replaces I. Harkes
  17. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Cubas (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned
  18. 42'
    Yellow Card
    C. Arango (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  19. 39'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Vancouver Whitecaps by R. Elloumi, assisted by S. Berhalter
    0-1
  20. 38'
    Yellow Card
    B. Kikanovic (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  21. 12'
    Yellow Card
    C. Espinoza (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned

San Jose vs. Vancouver: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Vancouver
  • Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +575, Vancouver -220, draw +390

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 13.7%
  • Vancouver: 70.0%
  • Draw: 16.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-2 Vancouver (9.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win San Jose vs. Vancouver? Prediction & correct score

Vancouver is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 70.0%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-2 Vancouver.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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