Philadelphia Union vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/22/2026]
MLS
NY City vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Philadelphia MLS match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Oct 4, 7:30 PM ET Subaru Park
Oct 4, 7:30 PM ET Subaru Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
M. Uhre (40')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Philadelphia
- NY City
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for New York City: M. Carrizo replaces M. Moralez
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces I. Vassilev
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: O. Mbaizo replaces M. Iloski
Substitution for New York City: J. Fernandez replaces H. Wolf
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces B. Damiani
Substitution for New York City: A. Ojeda replaces A. Martinez
Substitution for New York City: M. Ilenic replaces T. Gray
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: T. Baribo replaces M. Uhre
B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Substitution for New York City: A. O'Neill replaces K. O'Toole
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Uhre, assisted by J. Lukic
0-1
J. Glesnes (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
K. O'Toole (New York City) cautioned
D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
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NY City vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: NY City vs. Philadelphia
- Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Subaru Park
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: NY City +270, Philadelphia -110, draw +275
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+130)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- NY City: 25.7%
- Philadelphia: 50.0%
- Draw: 24.2%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: NY City 1-1 Philadelphia (11.5%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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Who will win NY City vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score
Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.0%.
The most likely correct score is NY City 1-1 Philadelphia.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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