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MLS
Sporting KC vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. Minnesota MLS match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
0
3
Oct 4, 8:30 PM ET Allianz Field
Oct 4, 8:30 PM ET Allianz Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
A. Markanich (25')
J. Pereyra (60')
A. Markanich (64')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Minnesota
- Sporting KC
Win Probability
Match Timeline
J. Davis (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces Z. Bassong
Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Gressel replaces B. Hlongwane
Substitution for Minnesota United: D. Fitz replaces N. Triantis
Substitution for Minnesota United: O. Gene replaces R. Lod
Substitution for Minnesota United: H. Dotson replaces W. Trapp
Substitution for Minnesota United: N. Romero replaces A. Markanich
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Leibold replaces L. Ndenbe
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Salloi replaces M. Toye
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Munoz replaces N. Radoja
Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich, assisted by N. Triantis
0-3
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: E. Thommy replaces M. Rodriguez
Goal scored for Minnesota United by J. Pereyra
0-2
Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich, assisted by J. Pereyra
0-1
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Sporting KC vs. Minnesota: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Sporting KC vs. Minnesota
- Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Allianz Field
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Sporting KC +475, Minnesota -190, draw +390
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Sporting KC: 16.3%
- Minnesota: 65.2%
- Draw: 18.5%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Sporting KC 1-2 Minnesota (9.6%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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Who will win Sporting KC vs. Minnesota? Prediction & correct score
Minnesota is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 65.2%.
The most likely correct score is Sporting KC 1-2 Minnesota.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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