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New England vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for New England vs. Miami at the MLS on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
New England
1
4
Oct 4, 11:30PM Chase Stadium
Miami
Oct 4, 11:30PM Chase Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
T. Allende (32')
Soccer ball icon
J. Alba (45')
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T. Allende (60')
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J. Alba (63')
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D. Turgeman (59')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MIA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NE
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: G. Lujan replaces N. Allen
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Aviles replaces I. Fray
88'
Yellow Card
M. Falcon (Inter Miami) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
R. de Paul (Inter Miami) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: Y. Bright replaces S. Busquets
71'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: T. Chancalay replaces L. Campana
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by J. Alba, assisted by T. Segovia
1-4
60'
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Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende, assisted by L. Messi
1-3
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Segovia replaces B. Rodriguez
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by D. Turgeman, assisted by C. Gil
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Langoni replaces A. Oyirwoth
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: A. Yusuf replaces M. Fofana
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by J. Alba, assisted by L. Messi
0-2
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
0-1
29'
Yellow Card
B. Ceballos (New England Revolution) cautioned

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New England vs. Miami: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' New England vs. Miami prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Miami
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +750, Miami -300, draw +500

Dimers' win probabilities

  • New England: 12.9%
  • Miami: 70.9%
  • Draw: 16.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is New England 1-2 Miami, with a probability of 9%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

New England is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 12.9% probability, while Miami sits at 70.9%, with the draw at 16.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' New England vs. Miami prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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