New England vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the New England vs. Miami MLS match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
New England
1
4
Oct 4, 7:30 PM ET Chase Stadium
Miami
Oct 4, 7:30 PM ET Chase Stadium
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
T. Allende (32')
Soccer ball icon
J. Alba (45')
Soccer ball icon
T. Allende (60')
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J. Alba (63')
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D. Turgeman (59')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Miami
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • New England
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: G. Lujan replaces N. Allen
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Aviles replaces I. Fray
88'
Yellow Card
M. Falcon (Inter Miami) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
R. de Paul (Inter Miami) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: Y. Bright replaces S. Busquets
71'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: T. Chancalay replaces L. Campana
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by J. Alba, assisted by T. Segovia
1-4
60'
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Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende, assisted by L. Messi
1-3
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Segovia replaces B. Rodriguez
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by D. Turgeman, assisted by C. Gil
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Langoni replaces A. Oyirwoth
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: A. Yusuf replaces M. Fofana
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by J. Alba, assisted by L. Messi
0-2
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
0-1
29'
Yellow Card
B. Ceballos (New England Revolution) cautioned

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New England vs. Miami: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Miami
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +750, Miami -300, draw +500

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • New England: 12.9%
  • Miami: 70.9%
  • Draw: 16.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: New England 1-2 Miami (9.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win New England vs. Miami? Prediction & correct score

Miami is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 70.9%.

The most likely correct score is New England 1-2 Miami.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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