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San Diego FC vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Diego FC vs. Houston at the MLS on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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San Diego FC
4
2
Oct 5, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Oct 5, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
Felipe Andrade (15')
Soccer ball icon
Sergio Santos (87')
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A. Dreyer (pen.) (53')
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L. de la Torre (85')
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A. Dreyer (89')
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A. Pellegrino (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SD
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: P. McNair replaces A. Dreyer
90'
Yellow Card
L. Ennali (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Awodesu replaces Felipe Andrade
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Pellegrino, assisted by J. Tverskov
4-2
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Dreyer
3-2
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Sergio Santos, assisted by L. Ennali
2-2
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Segal replaces O. Lingr
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by L. de la Torre
2-1
84'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: L. de la Torre replaces A. Godoy
84'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: W. Kumado replaces A. Harangi
83'
Yellow Card
I. Pilcher (San Diego FC) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Sergio Santos replaces Junior Urso
78'
Yellow Card
A. Harangi (San Diego FC) cautioned
77'
Yellow Card
A. Godoy (San Diego FC) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Mighten replaces C. Baird
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bassi replaces D. Holmes
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Dreyer (pen.)
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: I. Pilcher replaces F. Negri
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces H. Lozano
39'
Yellow Card
E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Felipe Andrade, assisted by Junior Urso
0-1

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San Diego FC vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Diego FC vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +140, Houston +185, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 36.3%
  • Houston: 39.0%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Diego FC 1-1 Houston, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 36.3% probability, while Houston sits at 39.0%, with the draw at 24.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Diego FC vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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