Charlotte vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Charlotte vs. D.C. United MLS match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Charlotte
1
0
Audi Field
D.C. United
Audi Field
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
CharlotteCHA
L. Barraza (21')
Red Card icon
A. Herrera (30')
Red Card icon
W. Zaha (33')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Charlotte
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: B. Coulibaly replaces E. Williamson
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: B. Tuiloma replaces A. Privett
  3. 82'
    Yellow Card
    E. Williamson (Charlotte) cautioned
  4. 75'
    Yellow Card
    W. Zaha (Charlotte) cautioned
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: A. Goodwin replaces N. Petkovic
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: C. Clark replaces Gabriel Pirani
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: D. Badji replaces C. Benteke
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: L. MacNaughton replaces L. Bartlett
  9. 61'
    Yellow Card
    J. Stroud (DC United) cautioned
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: L. Abada replaces K. A. Calderon Vargas
  11. 49'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces Peglow
  12. 42'
    Yellow Card
    J. Hopkins (DC United) cautioned
  13. 37'
    Yellow Card
    N. Byrne (Charlotte) cautioned
  14. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by W. Zaha, assisted by N. Petkovic
    1-0
  15. 30'
    Red Card
    A. Herrera (DC United) sent off with a straight red card
  16. 23'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Farr replaces D. Schnegg
  17. 21'
    Red Card
    L. Barraza (DC United) sent off with a straight red card

Charlotte vs. D.C. United: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Charlotte vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Charlotte +180, D.C. United +145, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Charlotte: 43.2%
  • D.C. United: 31.8%
  • Draw: 25.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Charlotte 1-1 D.C. United (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Charlotte vs. D.C. United? Prediction & correct score

Charlotte is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.2%.

The most likely correct score is Charlotte 1-1 D.C. United.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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