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Charlotte vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Charlotte vs. D.C. United at the MLS on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Charlotte
1
0
Oct 4, 6:30PM Audi Field
D.C. United
Oct 4, 6:30PM Audi Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
CharlotteCHA
L. Barraza (21')
Red Card icon
A. Herrera (30')
Red Card icon
W. Zaha (33')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
DC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: B. Coulibaly replaces E. Williamson
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: B. Tuiloma replaces A. Privett
82'
Yellow Card
E. Williamson (Charlotte) cautioned
75'
Yellow Card
W. Zaha (Charlotte) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: A. Goodwin replaces N. Petkovic
71'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: C. Clark replaces Gabriel Pirani
71'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: D. Badji replaces C. Benteke
71'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: L. MacNaughton replaces L. Bartlett
61'
Yellow Card
J. Stroud (DC United) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: L. Abada replaces K. A. Calderon Vargas
49'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces Peglow
42'
Yellow Card
J. Hopkins (DC United) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
N. Byrne (Charlotte) cautioned
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Charlotte by W. Zaha, assisted by N. Petkovic
1-0
30'
Red Card
A. Herrera (DC United) sent off with a straight red card
23'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Farr replaces D. Schnegg
21'
Red Card
L. Barraza (DC United) sent off with a straight red card

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Charlotte vs. D.C. United: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Charlotte vs. D.C. United prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Charlotte vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Charlotte +180, D.C. United +145, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+135)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Charlotte: 43.2%
  • D.C. United: 31.8%
  • Draw: 25.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Charlotte 1-1 D.C. United, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Charlotte is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 43.2% probability, while D.C. United sits at 31.8%, with the draw at 25.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Charlotte vs. D.C. United prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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