Toronto vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Chicago MLS match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Toronto
2
:
2
Soldier Field
Chicago
Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
J. Elliott (71')
Soccer ball icon
J. Elliott (89')
Soccer ball icon
J. Elliott (o.g.) (28')
Soccer ball icon
D. Mihailovic (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Toronto
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Mihailovic (Toronto FC) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Penalty missed by D. Mihailovic for Toronto FC
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Mihailovic
    2-2
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Waterman (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  5. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Elliott, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
    1-2
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Corbeanu replaces D. Kerr
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces H. Cuypers
  8. 74'
    Yellow Card
    R. Laryea (Toronto FC) cautioned
  9. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Elliott, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
    1-1
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Dominguez replaces J. Cifuentes
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Stefanovic replaces D. Etienne
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces S. Rogers
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Kouame replaces M. Pineda
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. D'Avilla replaces S. Oregel
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Bamba replaces B. Gutierrez
  16. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by J. Elliott (o.g.)
    1-0
  17. 21'
    Yellow Card
    P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) cautioned

Toronto vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +450, Chicago -185, draw +340

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 17.7%
  • Chicago: 60.8%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 0-1 Chicago (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Toronto vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.8%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 0-1 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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