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Toronto vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Toronto vs. Chicago at the MLS on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
Toronto
2
:
2
Oct 5, 12:30AM Soldier Field
Chicago
Oct 5, 12:30AM Soldier Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
J. Elliott (71')
Soccer ball icon
J. Elliott (89')
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J. Elliott (o.g.) (28')
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D. Mihailovic (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
D. Mihailovic (Toronto FC) cautioned
90'
Penalty missed by D. Mihailovic for Toronto FC
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Mihailovic
2-2
90'
Yellow Card
J. Waterman (Chicago Fire) cautioned
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Elliott, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
1-2
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Corbeanu replaces D. Kerr
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces H. Cuypers
74'
Yellow Card
R. Laryea (Toronto FC) cautioned
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Elliott, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
1-1
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Dominguez replaces J. Cifuentes
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Stefanovic replaces D. Etienne
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces S. Rogers
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Kouame replaces M. Pineda
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. D'Avilla replaces S. Oregel
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Bamba replaces B. Gutierrez
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by J. Elliott (o.g.)
1-0
21'
Yellow Card
P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) cautioned

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Toronto vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Toronto vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +450, Chicago -185, draw +340

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Toronto: 17.7%
  • Chicago: 60.8%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Toronto 0-1 Chicago, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Toronto is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.7% probability, while Chicago sits at 60.8%, with the draw at 21.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Toronto vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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