St Louis City vs. Austin Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Austin MLS match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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St Louis City
3
1
Oct 4, 8:30 PM ET Q2 Stadium
Austin
Oct 4, 8:30 PM ET Q2 Stadium
AustinAUS
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
O. Svatok (36')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (28')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (45')
Soccer ball icon
S. Becher (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Austin
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces C. Durkin
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Becher, assisted by A. Morales
3-1
90'
Yellow Card
(Austin FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
R. Taylor (Austin FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
D. Rubio (Austin FC) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Joao Klauss
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: N. Dubersarsky replaces O. Wolff
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: R. Taylor replaces O. Bukari
72'
Yellow Card
B. McSorley (St. Louis City) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: C. Fodrey replaces I. Sanchez
64'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces C. Pompeu
64'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces S. Jeong
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: D. Rubio replaces B. Sabovic
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces M. Desler
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel
2-1
43'
Yellow Card
I. Sanchez (Austin FC) cautioned
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Austin FC by O. Svatok, assisted by O. Wolff
1-1
34'
Yellow Card
A. Morales (St. Louis City) cautioned
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel, assisted by A. Morales
1-0

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St Louis City vs. Austin: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Austin
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +260, Austin -105, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 26.8%
  • Austin: 49.6%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 Austin (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win St Louis City vs. Austin? Prediction & correct score

Austin is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.6%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 Austin.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on St Louis City vs. Austin, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.