St Louis City vs. Austin Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Austin MLS match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
St Louis City
3
1
Q2 Stadium
Austin
Q2 Stadium
AustinAUS
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
O. Svatok (36')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (28')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (45')
Soccer ball icon
S. Becher (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Austin
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces C. Durkin
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Becher, assisted by A. Morales
    3-1
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    (Austin FC) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Taylor (Austin FC) cautioned
  5. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Rubio (Austin FC) cautioned
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Joao Klauss
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: N. Dubersarsky replaces O. Wolff
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: R. Taylor replaces O. Bukari
  9. 72'
    Yellow Card
    B. McSorley (St. Louis City) cautioned
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: C. Fodrey replaces I. Sanchez
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces C. Pompeu
  12. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces S. Jeong
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: D. Rubio replaces B. Sabovic
  14. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces M. Desler
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel
    2-1
  16. 43'
    Yellow Card
    I. Sanchez (Austin FC) cautioned
  17. 36'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by O. Svatok, assisted by O. Wolff
    1-1
  18. 34'
    Yellow Card
    A. Morales (St. Louis City) cautioned
  19. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel, assisted by A. Morales
    1-0

St Louis City vs. Austin: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Austin
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +260, Austin -105, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 26.8%
  • Austin: 49.6%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 Austin (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win St Louis City vs. Austin? Prediction & correct score

Austin is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.6%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 Austin.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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