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Houston vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. Nashville at the MLS on September 27, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
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3
Sep 28, 12:30AM GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
Sep 28, 12:30AM GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
H. Mukhtar (2')
S. Surridge (48')
A. Najar (50')
E. Sviatchenko (9')
Junior Urso (40')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Zimmerman replaces J. Shaffelburg
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Sergio Santos replaces E. Bartlow
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces Artur
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Bunbury replaces S. Surridge
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Boyd replaces H. Mukhtar
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bassi replaces Junior Urso
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces E. Ponce
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces A. Najar
Substitution for Nashville SC: B. Acosta replaces P. Yazbek
Goal scored for Nashville SC by A. Najar
1-3
Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge
1-2
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Junior Urso, assisted by L. Ennali
1-1
P. Yazbek (Nashville SC) cautioned
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Awodesu replaces O. Lingr
A. Najar (Nashville SC) cautioned
E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
Goal scored for Nashville SC by H. Mukhtar, assisted by A. Muyl
0-1
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Houston vs. Nashville: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Houston vs. Nashville prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Houston vs. Nashville
- Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: GEODIS Park
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Houston +380, Nashville -125, draw +310
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+118)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Houston: 19.3%
- Nashville: 58.6%
- Draw: 22.1%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 0-1 Nashville, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.3% probability, while Nashville sits at 58.6%, with the draw at 22.1%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Houston vs. Nashville prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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