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Chicago vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. Miami at the MLS on September 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
Chicago
5
3
Sep 30, 11:30PM Chase Stadium
Miami
Sep 30, 11:30PM Chase Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
T. Aviles (39')
Soccer ball icon
L. Suarez (57')
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L. Suarez (74')
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D. D'Avilla (11')
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J. Dean (32')
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R. Kouame (43')
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J. Reynolds (80')
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B. Gutierrez (83')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MIA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Yellow Card
J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Picault replaces Y. Bright
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by B. Gutierrez
5-3
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Reynolds
4-3
78'
Yellow Card
Y. Bright (Inter Miami) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: N. Allen replaces G. Lujan
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez
3-3
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Acosta replaces A. Franco
69'
Yellow Card
A. Franco (Chicago Fire) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
S. Busquets (Inter Miami) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
B. Rodriguez (Inter Miami) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: B. Gutierrez replaces J. Bamba
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces D. D'Avilla
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Reynolds replaces J. Dean
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez, assisted by B. Rodriguez
3-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Zinckernagel replaces R. Kouame
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: I. Fray replaces M. Weigandt
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: B. Rodriguez replaces T. Segovia
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Allende replaces T. Aviles
45'
Yellow Card
T. Aviles (Inter Miami) cautioned
43'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by R. Kouame, assisted by M. Haile-Selassie
3-1
39'
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Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Aviles
2-1
32'
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Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Dean
2-0
32'
Yellow Card
J. Bamba (Chicago Fire) cautioned
11'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by D. D'Avilla, assisted by M. Haile-Selassie
1-0

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Chicago vs. Miami: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chicago vs. Miami prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Miami
  • Date: Tuesday, September 30, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +400, Miami -185, draw +390

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chicago: 18.9%
  • Miami: 63.8%
  • Draw: 17.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 1-2 Miami, with a probability of 8%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.9% probability, while Miami sits at 63.8%, with the draw at 17.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chicago vs. Miami prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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