Chicago vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. Miami MLS match on September 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Chicago
5
3
Chase Stadium
Miami
Chase Stadium
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
T. Aviles (39')
Soccer ball icon
L. Suarez (57')
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L. Suarez (74')
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D. D'Avilla (11')
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J. Dean (32')
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R. Kouame (43')
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J. Reynolds (80')
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B. Gutierrez (83')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Miami
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chicago
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Yellow Card
    J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Picault replaces Y. Bright
  3. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by B. Gutierrez
    5-3
  4. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Reynolds
    4-3
  5. 78'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Bright (Inter Miami) cautioned
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: N. Allen replaces G. Lujan
  7. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez
    3-3
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Acosta replaces A. Franco
  9. 69'
    Yellow Card
    A. Franco (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  10. 68'
    Yellow Card
    S. Busquets (Inter Miami) cautioned
  11. 68'
    Yellow Card
    B. Rodriguez (Inter Miami) cautioned
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: B. Gutierrez replaces J. Bamba
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces D. D'Avilla
  14. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Reynolds replaces J. Dean
  15. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez, assisted by B. Rodriguez
    3-2
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Zinckernagel replaces R. Kouame
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: I. Fray replaces M. Weigandt
  18. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: B. Rodriguez replaces T. Segovia
  19. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Allende replaces T. Aviles
  20. 45'
    Yellow Card
    T. Aviles (Inter Miami) cautioned
  21. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by R. Kouame, assisted by M. Haile-Selassie
    3-1
  22. 39'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Aviles
    2-1
  23. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Dean
    2-0
  24. 32'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bamba (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  25. 11'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by D. D'Avilla, assisted by M. Haile-Selassie
    1-0

Chicago vs. Miami: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Miami
  • Date: Tuesday, September 30, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +400, Miami -185, draw +390

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 18.9%
  • Miami: 63.8%
  • Draw: 17.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-2 Miami (8.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Chicago vs. Miami? Prediction & correct score

Miami is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.8%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-2 Miami.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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