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Orlando vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Orlando vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on September 28, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Orlando
1
:
1
Sep 28, 11PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
Sep 28, 11PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
K. Denkey (73')
Soccer ball icon
A. Freeman (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ORL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by A. Freeman, assisted by T. Spicer
1-1
88'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Y. Kubo replaces S. Gidi
86'
Yellow Card
R. Schlegel (Orlando City) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: N. Rodriguez replaces M. Pasalic
80'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces P. Bucha
80'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: D. Marczuk replaces L. Orellano
80'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces K. Denkey
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: A. Marin replaces D. Brekalo
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: L. Muriel replaces D. McGuire
74'
Yellow Card
K. Denkey (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by Evander
0-1
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces I. Angulo
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: J. Gerbet replaces K. Smith
67'
Yellow Card
K. Smith (Orlando City) cautioned
66'
Yellow Card
Evander (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces N. Hagglund
54'
Yellow Card
A. Freeman (Orlando City) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
S. Gidi (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
D. Brekalo (Orlando City) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
E. Atuesta (Orlando City) cautioned

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Orlando vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Orlando vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +170, Cincinnati +140, draw +290

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Orlando: 31.3%
  • Cincinnati: 45.4%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Orlando 1-1 Cincinnati, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Orlando is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.3% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 45.4%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Orlando vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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