Orlando vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Orlando vs. Cincinnati MLS match on September 28, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Orlando
1
:
1
TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
K. Denkey (73')
Soccer ball icon
A. Freeman (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Orlando
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by A. Freeman, assisted by T. Spicer
    1-1
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Y. Kubo replaces S. Gidi
  3. 86'
    Yellow Card
    R. Schlegel (Orlando City) cautioned
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: N. Rodriguez replaces M. Pasalic
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces P. Bucha
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: D. Marczuk replaces L. Orellano
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces K. Denkey
  8. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: A. Marin replaces D. Brekalo
  9. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: L. Muriel replaces D. McGuire
  10. 74'
    Yellow Card
    K. Denkey (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  11. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by Evander
    0-1
  12. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces I. Angulo
  13. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: J. Gerbet replaces K. Smith
  14. 67'
    Yellow Card
    K. Smith (Orlando City) cautioned
  15. 66'
    Yellow Card
    Evander (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  16. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces N. Hagglund
  17. 54'
    Yellow Card
    A. Freeman (Orlando City) cautioned
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    S. Gidi (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  19. 37'
    Yellow Card
    D. Brekalo (Orlando City) cautioned
  20. 32'
    Yellow Card
    E. Atuesta (Orlando City) cautioned

Orlando vs. Cincinnati: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +170, Cincinnati +140, draw +290

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Orlando: 31.3%
  • Cincinnati: 45.4%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Orlando 1-1 Cincinnati (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Orlando vs. Cincinnati? Prediction & correct score

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.4%.

The most likely correct score is Orlando 1-1 Cincinnati.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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