St Louis City vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. San Jose MLS match on September 20, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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St Louis City
3
1
Sep 20, 10:30 PM ET PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
Sep 20, 10:30 PM ET PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
C. Arango (pen.) (31')
Soccer ball icon
B. McSorley (10')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (19')
Soccer ball icon
B. McSorley (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces C. Espinoza
88'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Morales replaces M. Hartel
82'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Antwi replaces C. Durkin
81'
Yellow Card
B. Kikanovic (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
81'
Yellow Card
S. Becher (St. Louis City) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces Vitor Costa
79'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Leroux replaces P. Judd
78'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Totland replaces B. McSorley
78'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Joao Klauss
72'
Yellow Card
P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Martinez replaces B. R. Wilson Valdez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Kikanovic replaces M. Kaye
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces C. Pompeu
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by B. McSorley, assisted by M. Hartel
3-1
45'
Yellow Card
R. Vieira (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango (pen.)
2-1
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel
2-0
10'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by B. McSorley
1-0

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St Louis City vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +300, San Jose -135, draw +330

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 23.8%
  • San Jose: 56.5%
  • Draw: 19.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-2 San Jose (9.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win St Louis City vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.5%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-2 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on St Louis City vs. San Jose, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.