St Louis City vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. San Jose MLS match on September 20, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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St Louis City
3
1
PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
C. Arango (pen.) (31')
Soccer ball icon
B. McSorley (10')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (19')
Soccer ball icon
B. McSorley (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces C. Espinoza
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Morales replaces M. Hartel
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Antwi replaces C. Durkin
  4. 81'
    Yellow Card
    B. Kikanovic (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  5. 81'
    Yellow Card
    S. Becher (St. Louis City) cautioned
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces Vitor Costa
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Leroux replaces P. Judd
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Totland replaces B. McSorley
  9. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Joao Klauss
  10. 72'
    Yellow Card
    P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Martinez replaces B. R. Wilson Valdez
  12. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Kikanovic replaces M. Kaye
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces C. Pompeu
  14. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by B. McSorley, assisted by M. Hartel
    3-1
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Vieira (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  16. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango (pen.)
    2-1
  17. 19'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel
    2-0
  18. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by B. McSorley
    1-0

St Louis City vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +300, San Jose -135, draw +330

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 23.8%
  • San Jose: 56.5%
  • Draw: 19.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-2 San Jose (9.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win St Louis City vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.5%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-2 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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