New England vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the New England vs. Philadelphia MLS match on September 20, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
MLS
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLS sport icon
MLS
New England
0
1
Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
B. Damiani (71')
Soccer ball icon
P. Miller (75')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • New England
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: E. Klein replaces M. Polster
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: A. Farrell replaces B. Bye
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rafanello (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces J. Bueno
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces B. Damiani
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: W. Sands replaces A. Oyirwoth
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: T. Chancalay replaces I. Feingold
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Uhre replaces T. Baribo
  9. 75'
    Red Card
    P. Miller (New England Revolution) sent off for a second yellow card
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: J. Yueill replaces A. Yusuf
  11. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani
    0-1
  12. 62'
    Yellow Card
    A. Yusuf (New England Revolution) cautioned
  13. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Iloski replaces D. Jean Jacques
  14. 49'
    Yellow Card
    P. Miller (New England Revolution) cautioned
  15. 22'
    Yellow Card
    A. Oyirwoth (New England Revolution) cautioned

New England vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +450, Philadelphia -179, draw +350

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • New England: 15.2%
  • Philadelphia: 65.3%
  • Draw: 19.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: New England 0-2 Philadelphia (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win New England vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 65.3%.

The most likely correct score is New England 0-2 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on New England vs. Philadelphia, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.