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NY City vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY City vs. Chicago at the MLS on September 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY City
3
1
Sep 14, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
Chicago
Sep 14, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
P. Zinckernagel (13')
Soccer ball icon
N. Mercau (40')
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A. Martinez (57')
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S. Garfield Reid (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NYC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces Raul Gustavo
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: S. Garfield Reid replaces A. Martinez
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by S. Garfield Reid, assisted by T. Gray
3-1
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces J. Waterman
80'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Ojeda replaces N. Mercau
71'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces A. O'Neill
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces J. Bamba
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez
2-1
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Oregel replaces A. Franco
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau
1-1
37'
Yellow Card
A. O'Neill (New York City) cautioned
13'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel, assisted by B. Gutierrez
0-1

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NY City vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY City vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +210, Chicago +115, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+140)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY City: 31.6%
  • Chicago: 45.0%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY City 1-1 Chicago, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.6% probability, while Chicago sits at 45.0%, with the draw at 23.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY City vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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