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Houston vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. St Louis City at the MLS on August 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Aug 31, 12:30AM Energizer Park (St. Louis, Missouri)
Aug 31, 12:30AM Energizer Park (St. Louis, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
E. Lowen (86')
M. Joyner (89')
E. Ponce (20')
H. Kessler (o.g.) (50')
D. Holmes (72')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
M. Joyner (St. Louis City) cautioned
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Joyner
3-2
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Segal replaces E. Ponce
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Escobar replaces J. McGlynn
Goal scored for St. Louis City by E. Lowen, assisted by S. Becher
3-1
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Pompeu replaces S. Jeong
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Durkin replaces A. Morales
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Awodesu replaces E. Sviatchenko
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by D. Holmes, assisted by O. Lingr
3-0
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces C. Wallem
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces L. Ennali
Substitution for St. Louis City: F. Fall replaces T. Baumgartl
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces T. Ostrak
Felipe Andrade (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
Antonio Carlos (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
A. Morales (St. Louis City) cautioned
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by H. Kessler (o.g.)
2-0
E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
E. Lowen (St. Louis City) cautioned
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by E. Ponce, assisted by J. McGlynn
1-0
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Houston vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Houston vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Houston vs. St Louis City
- Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Energizer Park
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Houston +210, St Louis City +120, draw +295
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-180/+138)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Houston: 31.8%
- St Louis City: 44.7%
- Draw: 23.5%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 1-1 St Louis City, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.8% probability, while St Louis City sits at 44.7%, with the draw at 23.5%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Houston vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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