Chicago vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. Philadelphia MLS match on August 23, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Chicago
0
4
Aug 23, 7:30 PM ET Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
Aug 23, 7:30 PM ET Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
T. Baribo (34')
Soccer ball icon
K. Wagner (64')
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D. Jean Jacques (74')
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M. Iloski (80')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chicago
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces J. Lukic
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces M. Iloski
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski
0-4
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces T. Baribo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Acosta replaces S. Oregel
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces H. Cuypers
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Jean Jacques
0-3
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces Q. Sullivan
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Uhre replaces B. Damiani
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces P. Zinckernagel
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Franco replaces D. D'Avilla
66'
Yellow Card
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by K. Wagner, assisted by M. Iloski
0-2
59'
Yellow Card
T. Baribo (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
S. Oregel (Chicago Fire) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces L. Barroso
38'
Yellow Card
L. Barroso (Chicago Fire) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by T. Baribo
0-1

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Chicago vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +340, Philadelphia -127, draw +335

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 20.6%
  • Philadelphia: 58.0%
  • Draw: 21.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-2 Philadelphia (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Chicago vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.0%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-2 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Chicago vs. Philadelphia, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.