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Chicago vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on August 23, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Chicago
0
4
Aug 23, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
Aug 23, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
T. Baribo (34')
Soccer ball icon
K. Wagner (64')
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D. Jean Jacques (74')
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M. Iloski (80')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces J. Lukic
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces M. Iloski
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski
0-4
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces T. Baribo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Acosta replaces S. Oregel
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces H. Cuypers
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Jean Jacques
0-3
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces Q. Sullivan
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Uhre replaces B. Damiani
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces P. Zinckernagel
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Franco replaces D. D'Avilla
66'
Yellow Card
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by K. Wagner, assisted by M. Iloski
0-2
59'
Yellow Card
T. Baribo (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
S. Oregel (Chicago Fire) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces L. Barroso
38'
Yellow Card
L. Barroso (Chicago Fire) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by T. Baribo
0-1

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Chicago vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chicago vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +340, Philadelphia -127, draw +335

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chicago: 20.6%
  • Philadelphia: 58.0%
  • Draw: 21.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 1-2 Philadelphia, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 20.6% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 58.0%, with the draw at 21.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chicago vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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