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San Diego FC vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Diego FC vs. San Jose at the MLS on August 17, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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San Diego FC
2
1
Aug 17, 11PM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
Aug 17, 11PM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
J. Martinez (73')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ingvartsen (81')
Soccer ball icon
A. Dreyer (84')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SD
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Yellow Card
P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces Vitor Costa
86'
Yellow Card
E. Boateng (San Diego FC) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
A. Dreyer (San Diego FC) cautioned
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Dreyer, assisted by M. Ingvartsen
2-1
83'
Yellow Card
M. Duah (San Diego FC) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces C. Arango
83'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Judd replaces J. Martinez
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Ingvartsen, assisted by F. Negri
1-1
79'
Yellow Card
Daniel (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: E. Boateng replaces D. Vazquez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: P. Soma replaces O. Valakari
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Martinez
0-1
71'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces M. Kaye
71'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Buck replaces B. Leroux
64'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: M. Ingvartsen replaces A. Godoy
48'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: L. de la Torre replaces T. Angel
38'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: F. Negri replaces A. Harangi

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San Diego FC vs. San Jose: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Diego FC vs. San Jose prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. San Jose
  • Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +220, San Jose +110, draw +295

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 38.0%
  • San Jose: 39.6%
  • Draw: 22.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Diego FC 1-1 San Jose, with a probability of 9%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 38.0% probability, while San Jose sits at 39.6%, with the draw at 22.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Diego FC vs. San Jose prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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